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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More PROFIT from Qatar? 世界杯韩国VS加纳

2022-11-28

比赛分析

世界杯

已完赛

星期一2022-11-28 21:00

解读理由

South Korea VS Ghana

South Korea and Ghana lock horns in this Group H clash at Education City Stadium in Al Rayyan Monday evening Beijing time. The stakes are high as both teams have a genuine chance to qualify for the Play Offs. A draw would keep both teams hopes alive but the last round would, in this scenario, be nerve-racking despite the result of Portugal-Uruguay which is played later on Tuesday Beijing time. Having followed intenational football for over thirty years and been betting on it for almost 22 years I can assure my fans that teams very rarely take substantial risks to score a goal later into the second half unless it is 100% clear not scoring means the team are disqualified! The biggest, usually quite sharp bookies with the biggest stake limits see the goal expectancy here to be 1.99-2.01 goals but I would set the number at 1.83. The probability of a draw is – typically for this tournament and for high-stakes international matches high – 34%. This would be enough for my fans and me to win with the +1 goals handicap (1x2 handicap) option on Ghana once again betting on the World Cup. I do not understand why the betting market sees Korea as the favorites here.. (?)Yes, their FIFA ranking is higher (28th) but in my view they are not among the best 35 teams in the World. Yes, the have Heung-min Son but the gap between Tottenham's super star and the rest of the players is massive...Ghana should be the narrow favorites here in my view.

Korea were very lame against Uruguay in the first round and failed to score a single shot on the South Americans' goal! Their offense lacks creativity and – to be honest - pure skill too! Physically the Africans are stronger and taller on average here which makes things challenging for Koreans for example in corner kick and dangerous free kick situations.. The number of expected goal numbers (xG) on Thursday were S. Korea 0.68 and Uruguay 0.66. I do not see Korea having much room for improvement and it is no wonder they have not done very well since the tournament at home 20 years ago. Ghana lost to Portugal in the first round but were not bad at all. As massive underdogs Yes, Portugal did deserve the 3-2 but Ghana fought well and looked well-organized and tactically mature – especially for an African team. Teams from Africa are often much weaker than European and Asian teams in this are of the game. Portugal's C. Ronaldo opened the scoring in the second half through a somewhat qurestionable penalty. The created 2.48 in expected goals.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

韩国VS加纳

北京时间周一晚上,在位于阿尔雷扬的教育城体育场,韩国队和加纳队在H组的比赛中针锋相对。两支球队都有真正的机会进入附加赛,所以赌注很高。平局会让两队都有希望,但在这种情况下,尽管北京时间周二葡萄牙对乌拉圭的比赛结果,最后一轮将是伤脑筋的。我关注国际足球超过30年,赌球近22年,我可以向我的球迷们保证,球队很少会冒着巨大的风险在下半场进球,除非100%确定不进球就意味着球队被取消资格!最大的,通常是非常敏锐的赌徒,最大的赌注限制,认为这里的目标预期是1.99-2.01球,但我将设置为1.83球。平局的概率是34%,这在这项赛事和高风险的国际比赛中是很典型的。这将足够我的球迷和我赢得加纳的+1球障碍(1x2障碍)的选择,再一次打赌世界杯。我不明白为什么博彩市场会看好韩国。(?)是的,他们的国际足联排名更高(第28位),但在我看来,他们不在世界上最好的35支球队之列。是的,他们有孙兴慜,但是热刺的超级球星和其他球员之间的差距是巨大的……在我看来,加纳应该是最受欢迎的。

韩国队在第一轮对阵乌拉圭的比赛中表现非常糟糕,在南美人的球门上,韩国队连一脚射门都没有打进!他们的进攻缺乏创造力——说实话——也缺乏纯技术!在身体上,非洲人平均来说更强壮更高,这给韩国人带来了挑战,比如在角球和危险的任意球情况下。周四的预期进球数(xG)是韩国0.68,乌拉圭0.66。我看不出韩国队有多大的进步空间,这也难怪他们在20年前的主场比赛后表现不佳。加纳在第一轮就输给了葡萄牙,但表现并不差。是的,葡萄牙确实应该以3-2的比分取胜,但加纳踢得很好,看起来组织良好,战术成熟——尤其是对一支非洲球队来说。在这方面,来自非洲的球队往往比欧洲和亚洲的球队弱得多。葡萄牙的c·罗纳尔多在下半场凭借一个有点可疑的点球首开纪录。创建了2.48的预期目标。


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