Cartagena VS Eibar

Cartagena welcome Eibar for this Spanish LaLiga2 round 16 clash at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova. A pretty good-level match is on the cards here despite by this leagues' standards between a quite good and a very good team. The goal expectancy is low though. The biggest, usually sharp bookies with the biggest betting limits estimate that the goal expectancy is about 2.15 but I would set the number at only 1.98. Only two of Eibar's latest 10 matches have gone over the 2.5 total goals line. Three of these games have been 0-0. Eibar usually play quite defensive, sometimes even cautious football away from home, even against somewhat mediocre teams. Furthermore, most of Cartagena's most recent 10 matches have been under 2.5 and just once in these 10 latest game either team have score more than two goals. The probability of a draw is quite high – 34% This result would be enough to bring my fans and me a winner with the recommended +0.5 goal's handicap option. The bookies see the hosts here as favorites but I cannot agree with this! Eibar are the slightly more probable team to take all three points with a chance of 36%. In my opinion they have and edge in all areas of the game. The biggest difference in their favor is in defense – they have allowed just 13 goals. Cartagena, on the other hand, have conceded 16 goals but the number of expected goals allowed (xGA) this number should be 19. Yes, Eibar have scored two goals less than the hosts - 18 – but their xG is 22. Eibar have 27 points to their account and are in 5th place but would have deserved 30 in terms of expected points (xPTS). As for Cartagena the xPTS is 22 and actual number is 25.

I see Eibar having a lot of improve in all areas of the game and rate them as the 3rd best team in this league in my power rating that reflects the teams' overall class. They should be a lot more creative and aggressive offensively – put more pressure on the opponent's defense but I trust their excellent coach in this matter. Cartagena's current place in the standings is 7th but I see them only as the 14 best team in this league. Many of their players have exceeded themselves so far but I think this can not go on for much longer. Let's not forget that last year they finished in 9th place with 60 but were lucky in terms of xPTS. Eibar, on the other hand too 20 more points more than Cartagena and finished in third place. Not that much has really changed after last season. Furthermore, Eibar and in much better form and have not lost any of their latest six games. The host have won just two of their latest matches and one of the two wins came aft In their most recent wins came against a very small team, Alfaro in a cup match. Eibar game they were good against strong Alaves who currently top the standings. It was a goalless draw but Eibar recorded close to 60% ball possession and more scoring attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

卡塔赫纳VS艾巴尔

卡塔赫纳欢迎埃巴尔参加在卡塔赫纳市体育场举行的西班牙laliiga2 16轮比赛。一场相当高水平的比赛在这里是有可能的，尽管以这个联盟的标准来看，这是一支相当优秀和非常优秀的球队之间的比赛。尽管目标预期很低。最大的、通常是最敏锐的、下注上限最大的博彩公司估计，目标预期约为2.15，但我只会把这个数字设定为1.98。在埃巴尔最近的10场比赛中，只有两场进球超过2.5球。其中三场比赛是0-0。埃巴尔通常踢得很防守，有时甚至在客场踢得很谨慎，即使是面对一些平庸的球队。此外，卡塔赫纳最近的10场比赛大部分都低于2.5球，在最近的10场比赛中只有一场球队的进球超过2球。平局的概率是相当高的- 34%这个结果将足以给我的球迷和我带来一个获胜者与推荐的+0.5球的障碍选项。赌徒认为这里的主持人是最受欢迎的，但我不同意这一点!Eibar是更有可能拿下全部三分的球队，概率为36%。在我看来，他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势。他们最大的优势在于防守——他们只丢了13个球。另一方面，卡塔赫纳已经丢了16个球，但是被允许进的预期球数(xGA)应该是19个。是的，艾巴比东道主少进了两个球——18球——但他们的xG是22球。Eibar有27分，排名第5，但从预期积分(xPTS)来看，他们应该得到30分。至于卡塔赫纳，xPTS是22，实际数字是25。

我看到埃巴尔在比赛的各个方面都有很大的进步，在我的实力评估中，他们在联盟中排名第三，这反映了两支球队的整体水平。他们应该在进攻上更有创造力和侵略性，给对手的防守施加更大的压力，但在这件事上我相信他们优秀的教练。卡塔赫纳目前在积分榜上排名第七，但我认为他们只排在联赛的第14名。到目前为止，他们的许多球员都超越了自己，但我认为这种情况不会持续太久。我们不要忘记，去年他们以60名的成绩排在第9位，但在xPTS方面是幸运的。另一方面，埃巴尔也比卡塔赫纳多20分，排名第三。上赛季之后并没有太大的变化。此外，埃巴尔的状态要好得多，他们最近的六场比赛没有输过一场。东道主在最近的两场比赛中只赢了两场，其中一场是在杯赛中战胜了一支非常小的球队——阿尔法罗。在埃巴尔的比赛中，他们对目前排名第一的强大阿拉维斯表现出色。这是一场零球平局，但埃巴尔记录了接近60%的控球率和更多的得分尝试，进攻和危险的进攻。