Arsenal Tula VS Baltika Kaliningrad

Arsenal Tula host Baltika for this Russian FNL round 20 clash at Stadion Arsenal in Tula. This is the second tier of Russian football and is of mediocre level by European standards.A high-quality FNL standards and probably a tactical, even cautious match by is on the cards here. The biggest bookies offering odds on this game see the visitors as narrow favorites at the time of writing this but odds have been moving quite a lot today and I would not be surprised to see the hosts as slim favorites by kickoff! I see them having a 41% chance of winning. The goal expectancy here is not high – just around 2.00 goals. The draw is more probable than on average in this league and would be enough for my fans and me to win with the recommended handicap of +0.5 goals on Tula. 75% is the probability. Tula are a strong team in front of their fans and with the home advantage deserve the be the favorites.¨They have lost only one game at Stadion Arsenal so far this season in this league and there have been a few draws where Tula were very close to winning.

By pure class Baltika are slightly the better team at the moment but I would not be surprised to see Tula taking more points during the remainder if the season. I have been quite surprised by their attacking power this season and have, as a result, raised their overall power rating that reflects the teams' overall class from my in-depth pre-season previews. However, I think they have already become too hot in the betting market by now.. Let's not forget that whilst they have a respectable 38 points to their account and currently top the standings their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 34. Their goal difference is 33:21 – the hosts' score difference is 28:20. Indeed, offensively Tula are undoubtedly better perhaps by even a bigger margin then the 33 and 28 goals would indicate but Tula have a very well-organized defense and have an edge in this area of the game. Let's remember that Tula were relegated from the fist tier for this season and are the much bigger club by financial standards and players' total market value. Both teams are in fine form results-wise but I want to mention that Baltika's offense has looked a little worse recently compared to some 1-2 months ago. Tula have a lot of offensive unused potential but it seems to take time for them to ”click” - players give to have chemistry - give the right pass at the right time etc. Their offensive structure has not been optimal but I do trust their coach in this matter. Lastly, I wanna mention that they would have deserved win in their most recent match against Akron Togliatti away from home but the hosts defended well and also had some luck on their side. It was a goalless draw. Tula's xPTS is 33.5 and actual number is 32.

GOOD LUCK!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

图拉阿森纳VS加里宁格勒巴尔蒂卡

图拉阿森纳主场迎战巴尔蒂卡，俄罗斯FNL第20轮比赛将在图拉阿森纳球场进行。这是俄罗斯足球的第二梯队，以欧洲标准来看，属于中等水平。一场高质量的FNL标准，可能是一场战术上的，甚至是谨慎的比赛在卡片上。在写这篇文章的时候，最大的博彩公司认为客队的赔率很小，但今天赔率变化很大，我不会惊讶于在开赛时看到主队的赔率很小!我认为他们有41%的机会获胜。这里的目标期望并不高——只有2个左右。平局的可能性比这个联赛的平均水平要高，而且在图拉的推荐进球数为+0.5的情况下，我和我的球迷都能赢，概率是75%。图拉在球迷面前是一支强队，拥有主场优势，理应成为夺冠热门。“本赛季到目前为止，他们在阿森纳球场只输了一场比赛，而且有几场平局都是图拉非常接近胜利的。

从纯水平上来说，巴尔蒂卡目前是稍好一些的球队，但如果图拉在本赛季剩下的比赛中获得更多积分，我不会感到惊讶。我对他们本赛季的攻击力感到非常惊讶，因此，从我深入的季前赛预览中，我提高了他们的整体实力评级，这反映了球队的整体水平。然而，我认为他们现在在博彩市场上已经太火了。我们不要忘记，虽然他们的帐户上有可敬的38分，目前排名第一，他们的期望分数(xPTS)只有34分。他们的净胜球是33:21，而东道主的比分是28:20。的确，图拉在进攻端无疑更出色，可能比33球和28球的差距更大，但图拉的防守组织良好，在这方面有优势。让我们记住，图拉本赛季从甲级联赛降级，但从财务标准和球员总市值来看，他们是更大的俱乐部。两支球队都取得了不错的成绩，但我想说的是，巴尔蒂卡的进攻与1-2个月前相比，最近看起来有些糟糕。图拉在进攻上有很多未被利用的潜力，但他们似乎需要时间来“点击”——球员们产生化学反应——在正确的时间给出正确的传球等等。他们的进攻结构不是最理想的，但在这件事上我相信他们的教练。最后，我想说的是，他们本应该在最近的一场客场对阵阿克伦·托里亚蒂的比赛中获胜，但东道主防守很好，他们也有一些运气。这是一场零比零的平局。图拉的xPTS是33.5，实际数字是32。

< / p > < p >祝你好运!