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A pretty reasonable bet with good odds 世界杯威尔士VS伊朗

2022-11-25

比赛分析

解读理由

On the second day of the 2022 World Cup, the fight for promotion comes to a head. Coach Rob Page's team picked up a point thanks to a 1-1 draw against the USA and celebrated a thoroughly successful return to the World Cup stage after an absence of no less than 64 years. The Iranians were easily beaten 6-2 in their opening game against England and thus conceded as many goals in one game as in the past two World Cups. In the first half of the match against the USA, Wales seemed a bit confused, which could be expected because this is the first World Cup for their players. They didn't manage to send a single shot into the opponent's goal and it can be said that they can be satisfied that they went to halftime with only one goal behind. The USA players knew that Garrett Bale was the biggest threat to them and they successfully shut him down, but the game of both teams in the second half was completely different. Two new players who played in the second half, Kieffer Moore and Brennan Johnson, also have a lot of credit for that. Despite just one half on the pitch, the Bournemouth 26-year-old ended up having the most involvement in Welsh's shots on target - two attempts on goal and one assist. The excellent young Nottingham player, Johnson, had even less time than him to show what he knows. For most viewers, he is a big unknown, but last season I watched a lot of his games in the Championship in the Nottingham jersey, and I am sure that in the future he will play for some of the world's biggest clubs. Even in the little time he spent on the field, he caused a lot of problems for the USA players on the right side. He has tremendous speed that opponents can hardly follow, and he is also an exceptional technician and is very difficult to guard.

Despite the fact that Iran came to this tournament as the best placed team from Asia, what they showed against England is really not encouraging. It is true that the English were big favorites in that match, but I must admit that I expected, if not a better game from the Iranians, at least a little more desire to play or resistance to the favored opponent. It is very possible that the atmosphere in the national team is not at the highest possible level, which could be seen at the very beginning of the match. At the beginning of the match, the Iranian players collectively refused to sing their own anthem in solidarity with the ongoing political protests in Iran. Even without that background story, Iran looked like a team that might be playing together for the first time. They played well only in the first 15 minutes of the game, but after that their game completely fell apart. They got out very easily in defense and were very poorly positioned on the field. A huge blow for them was the injury of the first goalkeeper Beiranvand, who had to be replaced by Hosseini, who, at least in my opinion, does not have much quality. He had to react better in a couple of situations and it can be said that at least two goals were his fault. As for the attack, it is clear to everyone that Taremi is the main player of this team, but it is evident that he does not have adequate support from his teammates and he is simply not the type of player who can solve the game with his individual quality. Much more was expected from Jahanbakhsh, who is visibly out of shape and was replaced already at halftime. He has not scored a single goal in Feyenoord so far this season and the team needs his good play, but the question is whether he will be able to revive his season against a tough team like Wales. Almost all Wales players play or have played for English clubs and like most teams from the United Kingdom, they cultivate a similar style of play to England. They play very patiently and it is not a problem for them to spread the opponent's defense with constant short passes in the middle of the field and in this way to create an excess on the side. By winning this match, Wales gives itself the right to hope for passage to the next stage. In case of win, they would have 4 points, and if England triumphs against the USA, the English would have 6 points and secure passage, while the USA would remain at one point. In the last match in the group, it would be enough for Wales not to lose, and if everything goes according to plan for the English, I believe that the last match in the group they will not play with all its strength.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在2022年世界杯的第二天,晋级之战进入白热化阶段。在1-1战平美国队的比赛中,教练罗伯·佩奇的球队拿到了一分,在阔别世界杯至少64年之后,他们成功地重返世界杯舞台。伊朗人在首战对阵英格兰的比赛中以6-2被轻松击败,因此一场丢球数与过去两届世界杯一样多。在对阵美国队的上半场比赛中,威尔士似乎有些困惑,这是意料之中的,因为这是他们的球员第一次参加世界杯。他们连一脚射门都没有射进对手的球门,可以说他们可以满意地说,他们在只落后一球的情况下进入半场。美国队球员知道贝尔是他们最大的威胁,他们成功地压制住了贝尔,但下半场两队的比赛完全不同。下半场出场的两名新球员,基弗·摩尔和布伦南·约翰逊,也有很大的功劳。尽管只踢了半场,这位伯恩茅斯26岁的球员却在威尔士的射正中贡献了最多的机会——2次射门和1次助攻。诺丁汉优秀的年轻球员约翰逊甚至没有他那么多时间来展示他所知道的。对于大多数观众来说,他是一个非常不知名的人,但上赛季我看了很多他穿着诺丁汉球衣参加英冠的比赛,我相信在未来他会为一些世界上最大的俱乐部效力。即使他在场上的时间很短,他也给美国右路球员制造了很多麻烦。他有惊人的速度,对手很难跟上,他也是一个杰出的技术,很难防住。

尽管伊朗队在本届比赛中是亚洲排名最好的球队,但他们在对阵英格兰队时的表现却并不令人鼓舞。在那场比赛中,英格兰队确实是大热门,但我必须承认,我希望伊朗队即使打得不是更好,至少也会对这个热门对手表现出更多一点的渴望或反抗。很有可能国家队的气氛没有达到最高水平,这在比赛一开始就能看出来。在比赛开始时,伊朗球员集体拒绝唱本国国歌,以声援伊朗正在进行的政治抗议活动。即使没有这样的背景故事,伊朗队看起来也像是第一次在一起比赛。他们只在比赛的前15分钟踢得不错,但在那之后他们的比赛就完全崩溃了。他们很容易在防守中出局,在场上的位置很差。对他们来说,一个巨大的打击是第一门将贝兰万德的受伤,他不得不被胡塞尼取代,至少在我看来,胡塞尼没有太多的实力。他必须在一些情况下做出更好的反应,可以说至少有两个进球是他的错。在进攻方面,大家都很清楚塔雷米是球队的主力球员,但很明显他没有得到队友足够的支持,他根本不是那种可以凭借个人素质解决比赛的球员。贾汉巴克什的表现更令人期待,他显然状态不佳,半场结束时就已经被换下。本赛季到目前为止,他还没有在费耶诺德打进一球,球队需要他的出色发挥,但问题是他能否在对阵威尔士这样的强队时恢复本赛季的状态。几乎所有的威尔士球员都效力或曾经效力于英格兰俱乐部,就像大多数来自英国的球队一样,他们培养了与英格兰相似的踢球风格。他们踢得非常耐心,对他们来说,通过不断的中路短传来分散对手的防守并在边路制造多余的空间不是问题。通过赢得这场比赛,威尔士队有了晋级下一阶段的希望。如果英格兰赢了,他们将获得4分,如果英格兰战胜了美国,英国将获得6分并确保出线,而美国将保持1分。在小组的最后一场比赛中,威尔士不输就足够了,如果一切都按照英格兰人的计划进行,我相信在小组的最后一场比赛中他们不会全力以赴。


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