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The best NBA pick on Monday! NBA热火VS太阳

2022-11-14

比赛分析

NBA

已完赛

星期二2022-11-15 08:30

解读理由

The 5th NBA week is going to start with 7 games and I'm picking the match between Miami Heat and Phoenix Suns. Miami right now has 6 wins and 7 losses and is only in 10th position in the Eastern Conference while Phoenix is 3rd best team in the Western Conference with 8 wins and 4 losses. I'm picking Miami to win this game.

The Heat started the season poorly as they had only 1 win in 4 games but recently the performance has been better and they have won 4 out of the last 6 games. Miami lost at Indiana by only 1 point and at home, they lost to the Trail Blazers as Josh Hart made a three-pointer in the last second of the game. The biggest problem for Miami has been away games where they have won only 1 out of the 4 games. Their home record hasn't been the best (5-4) but they have won 4 out of the last 5 at home.

Phoenix started the season with 6 wins in 7 games but now they are struggling. In the last 5 games, the Suns have lost 3 of which 2 have been away from home in Philadelphia and Orlando. Their biggest loss came in Philadelphia where Chris Paul injured his right heel and he hasn't played in the last 3 games (against the 76ers he spent only 14 minutes on the court).

Per advanced stats, Phoenix has the best net rating but the situation is different if we look at away games. Outside Phoenix, the team is the 22nd-best team on offense (108.3), the 6th-best on defense (109.1) and the net rating is the 12th-best (-0.8). At home, Miami is the 17th best (111.9) on offense and 16th best on defense (110.9) and the net rating is 19th best (1.0). These stats for both teams include all home or away games but the big difference has been during the last 3 games.

Miami has the 4th best net rating (7.0) in the last 3 games while Phoenix is only 25th-best (-6.7). You can see what kind of effect Chris Paul has and he's questionable for tonight's game. I'm pretty sure that he won't play tonight because the Suns are going home after this game and more healing time can only be a good thing, especially knowing that Paul isn't the youngest player.

Tyler Herro is questionable for Miami but head coach Erik Spoelstra said he's working hard to return soon. If he's going to play, it will increase Miami's chance to win but either way, I'm confident that they will win. Phoenix is without Cameron Johnson as well and their depth isn't so big. The Heat are playing very good basketball recently so they should win this game and continue the positive trend.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

NBA的第五周将以7场比赛开始,我选择迈阿密热火队和菲尼克斯太阳队之间的比赛。热火目前6胜7负,只排在东部第十,而太阳8胜4负,排在西部第三。我选迈阿密赢这场比赛。

热火本赛季开局不佳,4场比赛只赢了1场,但最近表现有所好转,他们在最近6场比赛中赢了4场。迈阿密仅以1分的优势输给了步行者,在主场,乔什·哈特在比赛最后一秒投中三分,他们输给了开拓者。迈阿密最大的问题是客场比赛,他们在4场比赛中只赢了1场。他们的主场战绩不是最好的(5胜4负),但他们在最近的5场主场比赛中赢了4场。

菲尼克斯以7场6胜的成绩开始了这个赛季,但现在他们正在挣扎。在过去的5场比赛中,太阳输了3场,其中2场是在客场对阵费城和奥兰多。他们最大的败仗是在费城,克里斯·保罗的右脚跟受伤了,他在过去的3场比赛中都没有上场(对阵76人的比赛中他只上场了14分钟)。

根据先进的数据,太阳拥有最好的净收视率,但如果我们看客场比赛,情况就不同了。在菲尼克斯之外,这支球队在进攻端排名第22(108.3),防守端排名第6(109.1),净得分排名第12(-0.8)。在主场,热火的进攻排在第17位(111.9分),防守排在第16位(110.9分),净得分排在第19位(1.0分)。这两支球队的数据包括所有的主客场比赛,但最大的差异是在最近三场比赛中。

热火在过去三场比赛中净得分排名第四(7.0),而太阳只排在第25位(-6.7)。你可以看到克里斯·保罗有什么样的影响,他今晚的比赛也有问题。我很确定他今晚不会上场,因为这场比赛之后太阳就要回家了,更多的康复时间只能是一件好事,尤其是知道保罗不是最年轻的球员。

泰勒·赫罗是否会加盟迈阿密还成问题,但主教练埃里克·斯波尔斯特拉说他正在努力训练,希望尽快回归。如果他上场,这将增加迈阿密赢球的机会,但无论如何,我相信他们会赢球。太阳也没有了卡梅隆·约翰逊,他们的深度也没有那么大。热火最近打得非常好,所以他们应该赢得这场比赛,继续保持积极的趋势。


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