In my opinion Montpellier have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Reims coming for this game with big mental advantage as they didn't lost any of last 6 Ligue 1 matches against Montpellier - they went unbeaten in last 3 games at this stadium.

Reims is in much better form, no doubt about that. They didn't lost in last 6 Ligue1 matches in a row - it's third longest streak in whole league. On the other hand Montpellier lost last two home league matches and when You look on the bigger picture that's looks even worse: they lost already 22 league matches in 2022 (!). It's second-worst result from all top 5 leagues.. After 5 consecutive losses, in last round Montpellier finally avoided loss - 1:1 on away against Clermont, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Clermont 3.47, for Montpellier 1.16.

What is even more interesting? Montpellier is two points above relegation zone, but they plays worse than their results shows. In current season they scored 23 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 16.7. It's big difference at this stage of the season. On the other hand Reims is at solid 11th place, but they should be even higher. Guests of today's match scored 15 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 22.0!

In addition to that Reims is much better at the back - only 7 teams conceded less goals than Reims. Montpellier have one of the worst defensive formation in whole league - only two teams in whole league conceded more goals.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，蒙彼利埃很有可能在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

兰斯在这场比赛中有很大的精神优势，因为他们在最近6场法甲比赛中没有输过蒙比利埃——他们在这个球场的最近3场比赛保持不败。

兰斯的状态好多了，这是毫无疑问的。他们在最近的6场法甲比赛中都没有输球，这是整个法甲联赛第三长的连胜纪录。另一方面，蒙彼利埃最近输掉了两场主场联赛，当你从更大的角度来看，情况看起来更糟:他们在2022年已经输掉了22场联赛(!)这是五大联赛中第二糟糕的结果。在经历了5连败之后，蒙彼利埃在上一轮终于避免了失利——客场1比1击败克莱蒙特，但这根本不是一个值得的结果:克莱蒙特的预期进球数是3.47，蒙彼利埃是1.16。

什么更有趣?蒙彼利埃比降级区高出两分，但他们的表现比他们的成绩更糟糕。本赛季他们进了23球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该只进16.7球。在赛季的这个阶段，这是很大的不同。另一方面，兰斯排在第11位，但他们应该排得更高。今天比赛的客人进了15球，但是按照预期进球数模型，他们应该进22.0球!

除此之外，兰斯的后防线要好得多——只有7支球队的失球比兰斯少。蒙彼利埃拥有整个联赛中最差的防守阵型之一——整个联赛中只有两支球队丢球比蒙彼利埃多。