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The BEST football pick on Thursday! 意甲拉齐奥VS蒙扎

2022-11-10

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期五2022-11-11 03:45

解读理由

Only 2 games will be played on Thursday night in Italian Serie A and 1 of them is going to be between Lazio and Monza. We are very close to the World Cup and Lazio is the 3rd best team in the tournament with 27 points but the team could catch 2nd place AC Milan who lost points in the previous game. Monza is at the bottom of the standings with 13 points and they are 6 points ahead of the relegation zone.

Lazio lost 2 games in a row but they got back on the winning track last weekend when they beat Roma in a battle of the nation's capital teams. Lazio loves to score as they have 25 total goals which are 3rd best result in Serie A. The team also provides excellent defense as they have conceded only 8 times this season and that is 2nd best result among all teams. At home, Lazio has 4 wins and 1 draw in 7 games. Lazio currently has 6 wins and a draw in the last 8 games and in 7 of them, the team has kept the sheet clean.

Monza had a losing streak of 3 games but they beat the worst team in the championship Hellas Verona in the last game. This is Monza's 1st season in Serie A but they are struggling. The team has 4 losses and a draw in 6 away games this season and they are having problems on defense. They have allowed 21 goals this season which is 4th worst result in the championship.

From xG's perspective, Lazio is better as well. The team is expected to score 1.36 goals while Monza is expected to score 1.25 goals away from home. Lazio is expected to concede 1.51 goals in front of their fans but Monza is expected to allow 1.56 goals on the road.

Only 3 players have scored at least 2 goals in the Serie A for Monza this season. 1 of them is Stefano Sensi but he won't be able to play tonight as he injured his ankle in the previous game and now is required to have surgery. Ciro Immobile has been out for some time but there's hope that he will be back on Lazio's roster on Thursday night. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic will certainly be back as he missed the Rome derby because of the suspension.

Lazio at home has lost only to Napoli but draws were against up-end teams Salernitana and Udinese. The only points for Monza on the road have been against last-placed Verona and 4th worst team Lecce. It's hard to see Monza taking anything away from this game, given the difference in form and quality between the 2 sides. I'm confident that Lazio will win this matchup and stay in the Champions League zone.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

意甲只有两场比赛将在周四晚上进行,其中一场将在拉齐奥和蒙扎之间进行。我们离世界杯很近了,拉齐奥以27分排名第三,但他们有可能赶上第二名的AC米兰,AC米兰在上一场比赛中丢分。蒙扎在积分榜上垫底,积13分,距离降级区还有6分。

拉齐奥连输两场,但上周末他们在首都球队的比赛中击败了罗马,重新回到了胜利的轨道上。拉齐奥喜欢进球,因为他们有25个进球,在意甲排名第三。球队也提供了出色的防守,因为他们本赛季只丢了8次球,这是所有球队中第二好的成绩。在主场,拉齐奥7场比赛4胜1平。拉齐奥目前在过去的8场比赛中取得了6胜1平的成绩,其中7场比赛,球队保持了零封。

蒙扎连败3场,但他们在最后一场比赛中击败了联赛中最差的球队维罗纳。这是蒙扎在意甲的第一个赛季,但他们正在挣扎。这支球队本赛季在6场客场比赛中4负1平,他们的防守也出现了问题。他们本赛季丢了21个球,在联赛中排名第四。

从xG的角度来看,拉齐奥也更好。球队有望在客场打进1.36球,而蒙扎有望在客场打进1.25球。拉齐奥预计将在球迷面前丢1.51球,而蒙扎预计将在客场丢1.56球。

本赛季只有3名球员在意甲蒙扎打进至少2球。其中之一是森西,但他将不能参加今晚的比赛,因为他在上一场比赛中扭伤了脚踝,现在需要做手术。西罗·因莫比勒已经缺阵一段时间了,但他有希望在周四晚上回到拉齐奥的阵容中。因为停赛错过了罗马德比的沙维奇肯定会回来。

拉齐奥在主场只输给了那不勒斯,但在对阵顶级球队萨勒尼塔纳和乌迪内斯时都战平了。蒙扎仅有的客场积分来自于倒数第一的维罗纳和倒数第四的莱切。蒙扎很难从这场比赛中得到什么,考虑到双方在形式和质量上的差异。我有信心拉齐奥将赢得这场比赛并留在欧冠区域。


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