Lecce were the biggest relegation candidate before the season started, but they have decent so far and especially the defense has worked well even against the big clubs. However the basic class is low and there will be bigger losses sooner or later, and even if Atalanta have been a lot more low-scoring this season then earlier the potential is still definitely there!

Lecce are 17th in the table with 9 points, the performance data suggests them a few points more but in general there are currently 7 teams in the big relegation danger, Lecce being one them, and it will be the key games that decide their faith. How have they done recently? Let us have a look:

They have one win on the whole season, against another weak team Salernitana. But there are a plenty of draws! All of them amazingly have been 1-1 score. The six losses have been narrow in general, 5 of them by one single goal, only Bologna have managed to win by this handicap.

Why would I choose to go against them then? Because they have been lucky to keep the scoreline, both Roma and Inter took 20 shots on them, and they should had won by a bigger margin. Also Napoli and Udinese have shot almost that much, so there have been chances, and there is not easy to find a better team to take use of them Atalanta.

Atalanta have had recently a very difficult schedule, and as always in football there is luck and unlock involved. They have won very undeservedly away at Roma, but likewise they should never had lost to the strong Napoli side last round in a game they dominated from the start and showed some really good form!

Most importantly they have shown excellent form on their travels, let us have a look:

Atalanta have played 6 matches away in Serie A, won 5, drawn 1. Defensively they have been excellent as the only goals conceded came in the 2-2 draw away at Udinese. Class-wise the teams closest to Lecce have been Sampdoria, Monza and Empoli, all of those games ended in a 0-2 away win.

I am not worried about a Lecce goal here, in the last home game v Juventus they did not create even worth of 0.2 xG of goal expectation, but what I want is Zapata to find his scoring form tonight, and I am pretty sure he will!

No big absentees, although defender Umtiti at Lecce is a big miss on paper, likewise Atalanta striker Muriel.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

莱切在赛季开始前是最大的保级候选者，但他们目前为止表现不错，特别是他们的防守即使在面对豪门的时候也表现出色。然而，基础级别很低，迟早会有更大的损失，即使亚特兰大本赛季得分更低，但早期的潜力仍然是肯定的!

莱切积9分排在积分榜第17位，数据显示他们还多得几分，但总的来说，目前有7支球队面临降级的危险，莱切就是其中之一，关键的比赛将决定他们的信心。他们最近过得怎么样?让我们来看看:

他们整个赛季只赢了一场，对手是另一支弱队萨勒尼塔纳。但是有很多平局!令人惊讶的是，所有的比赛都是1比1的比分。6场输球总体上比较小，其中5场仅一球之差，只有博洛尼亚在这种不利条件下取得了胜利。

那我为什么要和他们作对呢?因为他们很幸运地保持了比分，罗马和国际米兰都进行了20次射门，他们本应该以更大的优势取胜。那不勒斯和乌迪内斯的射门次数也差不多，所以有很多机会，要找到一个更好的球队来利用这些机会并不容易，亚特兰大。

亚特兰大最近的赛程非常艰难，在足球界总是需要运气和解锁。他们在客场赢了罗马，但同样的，他们不应该在上一轮输给强大的那不勒斯，他们从一开始就控制了比赛，表现出了真正的好状态!

最重要的是，他们在旅途中表现出了出色的状态，让我们来看看:

亚特兰大在意甲客场踢了6场比赛，5胜1平。在防守端，他们表现出色，仅有的失球发生在客场2-2战平乌迪内斯的比赛中。与莱切最接近的球队是桑普多利亚、蒙扎和恩波利，所有这些比赛都以客场0-2取胜结束。

我不担心莱切在这里的进球，在上一场主场对阵尤文图斯的比赛中，他们甚至没有创造出0.2 xG的进球预期，但我想要的是萨帕塔今晚找回他的进球状态，我很确定他会的!

没有大的球员缺席，尽管莱切的后卫乌姆蒂蒂在纸面上是一个很大的损失，亚特兰大的前锋穆里尔也是如此。