In my opinion Middlesbrough deserves to be bigger favorite in this match up. Both teams without any new serious absences, but I see big difference in quality and ambitions between both clubs.

First match of the season between both teams finished with comfortable Middlesbrough 2:0 win. They should make even bigger win as they had 17 shots - 14 more than Coventry.

Middlesbrough is still contender to play in play-off at the end of the season. They are only 5 pints behind top6 and for sure they still have a lot of motivation and believes. They had worse period couple of weeks ago, but looks like Neil Warnock team back on the good track in last matches - 7 points in last 4 matches is not bad result. In last round they played at home against probably the hottest team in league Cardiff. Match finished with draw 1:1, but Middlesbrough deserved for more - expected goals score for Middlesbrough 1.32, for Cardiff 0.14.

Coventry is just above relegation zone and without any shadow of doubt they are not in good form - they won only 1 of last 8 matches. Today they will at home, but they don't have real advantage because they don't play at real home - Coventry in current season plays in Birmingham. They didn't win in 10 of 16 home matches in current season and I see another failure today. Middlesbrough is very solid team on away - they made at least one point in 10 of 16 away matches so far. They scored 18 goals, but according to the expected goals model they should score more (21.17). They conceded 17 goals, but they should concede less (15.70).

I trust for Boro here.

在我看来，米德尔斯堡在这场比赛中应该是最受欢迎的。两支球队都没有新的严重缺席，但我发现两支球队的素质和野心都有很大的不同。

两队之间的本赛季首场比赛以米德尔斯堡2：0胜利结束。他们应该取得更大的胜利，因为他们射门次数比考文垂多。

米德尔斯堡仍然是本赛季附加赛的有力竞争者。他们仅比top6落后5分，可以肯定的是，他们仍然有很多动力和信念。他们在几周前的表现更糟，但是看起来他们在最后一场比赛中重回正轨-最近四场比赛中获得7分。在上一轮中，他们在主场对阵卡迪夫，比赛以平局1：1结束，但米德尔斯堡应得的更多-米德尔斯堡的预期进球数为1.32，卡迪夫为0.14。

考文垂就在降级区上方，毫无疑问，他们的状态也不是很好-他们在过去8场比赛中只赢了1场。今天他们将在主场作战，但他们并没有真正的优势，因为他们不在真正的主场比赛-本赛季的考文垂在伯明翰踢球。他们在当前赛季的16场主场比赛中10场不胜，我今天看到了另一场失败。米德尔斯堡是一支非常稳固的客队-到目前为止，他们在16场比赛中有10场至少取得了1分。他们打进18球，但根据预期的目标模型，他们的进球应该更多（21.17）。他们的失球17应该更少较少（15.70）。

我在这里相信米德尔斯堡。