The 1st game in Italian Serie A is going to be between Lecce and Atalanta. After 13 games, Lecce is 1 position over the relegation zone with 9 points while Atalanta is the 4th best team with 27 points. Lecce has won only 1 time this season and that was on 16th September when the team beat Salernitana. After that, Lecce has 3 draws and 3 losses. Although Atalanta sits in the TOP4, they have lost 2 out of the last 3 games although those games were against the leader Napoli and Lazio.

This is a great opportunity for Atalanta to get back on the winning track as Lecce has scored only 10 goals and allowed 16 while Atalanta has scored 19 times and conceded 10. Per xG stats, Lecce is the worst offensive team in the league with 0.93 expected goals at home while Atalanta is the 9th best team on the road with 1.51 expected goals. Lecce is the 6th worst defensive team at home with 1.58 expected allowed goals but Atalanta demonstrates 8th best defense with 1.51 expected allowed goals.

Atalanta loves to play away from home as they have 5 wins and 1 draw which is the 2nd best result in the Serie A and the team has scored 10 goals and allowed only 2 which is the 2nd best result among all Serie A teams. Lecce has picked up only 4 points at home this season with 4 draws of which 3 were against Empoli, Monza and Cremonese who are similar-level teams as Lecce. The edge goes to Atalanta as well because the team hasn't lost to Lecce in the last 17 matchups out of 18.

Lecce is likely to be without defender Samuel Umtiti for Wednesday night's clash as he was forced to leave the pitch early in the previous game against Udinese. Yes, Lecce has lost only 2 times at home this season but I'm going with the Atalanta in this matchup because Lecce is a very poor team and isn't at the same level as Atalanta who will be very motivated after recent losses and they can't afford to lose points against lower-tier teams.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

意大利甲级联赛的第一场比赛将在莱切和亚特兰大之间进行。13场比赛过后，莱切积9分，领先降级区1位，亚特兰大积27分，排名第4。莱切本赛季只赢过1次，那是在9月16日击败萨勒尼塔纳。在那之后，莱切3平3负。虽然亚特兰大目前排名第四，但他们在最近3场比赛中输掉了2场，尽管他们的对手是领头羊那不勒斯和拉齐奥。

这对亚特兰大来说是一个回到胜利轨道的好机会，因为莱切只进了10球丢了16球，而亚特兰大进了19球丢了10球。根据xG数据，莱切是联赛中进攻最差的球队，在主场的预期进球数为0.93，而亚特兰大在客场的预期进球数为1.51，排名第九。莱切以1.58个预期失球排名第六，亚特兰大则以1.51个预期失球排名第八。

亚特兰大喜欢在客场比赛，因为他们有5胜1平的战绩，这是意甲联赛第二好的成绩，球队进了10球只丢了2球，这是意甲所有球队中第二好的成绩。莱切本赛季在主场只拿到了4分，其中4平是对阵恩波利、蒙扎和克雷莫纳塞，这三支球队和莱切水平相当。亚特兰大也有优势，因为他们在过去的18场比赛中有17场没有输给莱切。

莱切的后卫乌姆蒂蒂很可能缺席周三晚上的比赛，因为他在上一场对阵乌迪内斯的比赛中被迫提前离场。是的，莱切本赛季只在主场输了2次球，但我选择在这场比赛中选择亚特兰大，因为莱切是一支非常糟糕的球队，而且和亚特兰大的水平不一样，亚特兰大在最近几场失利后会非常有动力，他们不能在对阵低级别球队时丢分。