The last game in Italian Serie A on Tuesday night is going to be between Cremonese and AC Milan. Right before the international break, Milan is in 2nd position with 29 points and 6 points behind the 1st place Napoli. It's a different story for newcomer Cremonese who is in the relegation zone with just 6 points in 13 games.

Interesting that Cremonese hasn't picked a win this season. All their points have been earned through draws as they have 2 points in the last 2 games. A few days ago Milan beat Spezia 2:1 and the game-winning goal was scored just at the start of additional time. Oliver Giroud was that hero who gave the win but he won't play tonight as he picked up a red card.

The biggest problem for Cremonese has been defense. The team has conceded 24 goals this season which is tied for 2nd worst result in Serie A while on offense the team has 11 goals and is tied for 3rd worst. On the top of the rankings is AC Milan which has scored 27 times this season (2nd best) and has allowed 14 goals (6th best outcome). Per xG stats, Cremonese is expected to score 1.66 goals at home and that is the 8th-best result while Milan is expected to score 1.88 goals (6th best) away from home. At the same time, Cremonese has the 4th worst defense with 1.82 expected allowed goals at home but Milan has the 3rd best defense with 1.36 expected allowed goals away from home.

Milan is unbeaten in 25 of their 26 previous games against newly promoted teams in Serie A. History has not been kind for the home side in this fixture, with Milan winning 10 of their 14 meetings in the league. This will, however, be the first time that Milan travel to the arena since 1996. Both teams are missing many players but Milan has a much bigger depth.

As Napoli is 6 points in front of Milan, last season's champions can't afford to lose points. It is hard to see what Cremonese will be able to offer as they have lost at home to teams like Torino, Lazio and Napoli. Not getting 3 points would be a disaster for Milan and I'm counting on them tonight.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

周二晚上的意甲最后一场比赛将在克雷莫纳斯和AC米兰之间进行。在国际比赛日之前，米兰以29分排名第二，落后第一名那不勒斯6分。对于新来的克雷莫内斯来说，情况就不一样了，他在13场比赛中只得到6分，处于降级区。

有趣的是克雷莫纳斯本赛季没有赢过一场。他们所有的积分都是通过平局获得的，因为他们在最近两场比赛中获得了2分。几天前，米兰以2:1击败了斯佩齐亚，在加时赛开始时打进了致胜的一球。奥利弗·吉鲁是带来胜利的英雄，但他今晚不会出场，因为他吃到了一张红牌。

克雷莫纳斯最大的问题是防守。球队本赛季丢了24球，排在意甲倒数第二，在进攻端丢了11球，排在倒数第三。排名第一的是AC米兰，本赛季进了27球(倒数第二)，丢了14球(倒数第六)。根据xG数据，克雷莫纳斯有望在主场打进1.66球，这是第8好的成绩，而米兰有望在客场打进1.88球(第6好的成绩)。与此同时，克雷莫纳斯以1.82个预期失球排名倒数第四，而米兰则以1.36个预期失球排名第三。

米兰在此前与意甲新进球队的26场比赛中有25场保持不败。在这场比赛中，历史对主队不利，米兰在联赛14次交锋中取得了10胜。然而，这将是米兰自1996年以来第一次来到这个球场。两支球队都缺了很多球员，但米兰的球员深度要大得多。

由于那不勒斯领先米兰6分，上赛季的冠军不能丢分。很难看到Cremonese能提供什么，因为他们在主场输给了像都灵，拉齐奥和那不勒斯这样的球队。得不到3分对米兰来说将是一场灾难，今晚我就指望他们了。