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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More PROFIT from Spain!

2022-11-07

比赛分析

西乙

已完赛

星期一2022-11-07 04:00

解读理由

Albacete Balompié SAD VS Levante


Albacate welcome Levante for this LaLiga2 round 15 clash at Estadio Carlos Belmonte Estadio Carlos Belmonte early Monday morning Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by European standards. The difference to the first tier, LaLiga, the 2nd best league in the world is substantial though.. This is a relatively low-scoring league and even a goalless draw would not surprise me too much here. The biggest, sharpest bookies with the biggest betting limits estimate the goal expectancy here being around 2.18 but I say the number of expected goals is lower – 2.02. The probability of a draw is high – 34%. This result would be enough for my fans and me to win yet another bet on Spanish football. We will side with the hosts with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The chance of winning is 72% .The betting market see the visitors as favorites but I cannot agree with this! In my view the hosts are narrow favorites despite the fact that the visitors are marginally better by pure class.

Levante do have a solid defense and this is the area of the game where they have not huge but still clear edge. Offensively Albacate have actually even been a little better so far but Levante unarguably have potential to be more dangerous offensively.. They should pass the ball a bit faster near - especeally near the opponent's goal. They have scored 15 goals – Levante's number is 14. Levante were relegated from LaLiga for this season and it will not be an easy season for them! Last season was a major disappointment for them and according to my sources they do not have a very good team spirit.In their most recent match they were once again lucky and took a point away from home against Granada through a 1-1 draw. Granada were much better in this match recording 16 shots on goal – Levante's number was just four. Before this they won four games in a row but could easily have dropped points in these matches. Before the winning streak the went four games without a win.. Indeed, they have been quite erratic. Albacate were promoted to this level for this season and have the players to do well this season! The bookies should start respecting them more! Their fans are very excited about the team and it is the massive home advantage that makes them the favorites here. They have not lost any of their latest eight games! Just one point separates the teams in the standings at the moment. 1-0 or 1-1 if I would have to predict a score.

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