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芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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No stakes, no need to bet either, but

2022-11-04

比赛分析

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2022-11-04 04:00

解读理由

in case you are interested in this game a few words.

No stakes at all here except the UEFA bonus for points, which actually would be big money for HJK. Betis odds have been rising as people start to understand the expected lineup. Does it really matter that much?

Betis have super big derby v Sevilla, and no regular starter will start today, so it is a question of Betis 2nd choice players vs those HJK players whose season finished several weeks ago and who are not injured.

How good are Betis 2nd choice?

It could be a lineup like this:

Claudio Bravo; Ruibal, Édgar, Víctor Ruiz, Miranda; Paul, Guardado, Luiz Henrique, Carvalho y Rodri; Willian José.

Defenders in general moneywise worth 5 million eur. Central midfielders a bit less, the best players, at least, most expensive being the wingers and centre-forward Willian Jose.

HJK were not bad v Roma at home, but every week their performances drop as there are no season left, and like vs Roma most of their defenders are injured, and most of their foreign signings were failures in the end.

HJK have also suffered even in the local league on natural grass, today with a weakened side, at least Valtteri Moren, Roope Riski, Murilo, Aapo Halme and Riku Riski are out. Highest valued HJK player is on-loan striker from Malmö, Malik, but he will not get a lot of ball, unlike the 2nd most expensive player keeper Hazard on loan from Celtic.

This is also a game where there might be value in the hosts in the live betting towards the end, as all substitutions will only make the team stronger.

3-0, despite the motivation factor.


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