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Two strong picks for today! 欧协联波兹南VS比利亚雷 西乙希洪竞技VS阿尔巴塞特

2022-11-03

比赛分析

西乙

已完赛

星期五2022-11-04 02:00

欧协联

已完赛

星期五2022-11-04 04:00

解读理由

LECH POZNAN - VILLARREAL

Hosts have much more motivation here. They need at least one point to qualify to ⅛ finals, as are two points above Beer Sheva (with better goal average). So will be motivated here.

They have a weak squad but surprisingly aren’t performing so bad. In the 4 games played, they only lost the first round against Villarreal (4:3) conceding a goal in the last minutes and playing pretty well. If they do the same today, surely they will be able to at least avoid defeat.

But Villarreal is the main reason for this pick. Head coach Emery left the club past week for the Premier League, and Villarreal signed a new coach - Quique Setien - who has been totally out of football (as he said) in the past years. So he will need time to adapt to the team and to see the best version of Villarreal, because he has a very clear style (lot of possession and control). Meanwhile, the team will concede goals because their style is very dangerous in defense.

With him they drew 2:2 against Beer Sheva at home last week and were outplayed against Athletic at the weekend, where they lost 1:0 but received a lot of chances.

They are already qualified as 1st of the group, so will put a totally alternative squad here. Not only to avoid fatigue, also because they have several key players with small injuries (Lo Celso, Foyth, Pedraza, Albiol, Capoue…).

Coach is desiring the arrival of the world cup break (as he said) to work with the players and train his style, as they don't have time with a match every three days.

So while this match is crucial for Lech Poznan, for Villarreal it is just a simple procedure and will be played like that. In the previous game Lech Poznan were close to achieve a draw against Villarreal with a better squad and more motivation, so today at home they should be able to do it.

SPORTING GIJÓN - ALBACETE

Sporting Gijon is a very strong team in the league, who is lacking regularity (especially playing away). But they have a great squad and should be fighting for the playoffs. Their performances so far have not been so bad, especially at home where they won 4 of the 6 games so far (the last three in a row) and it’s where they are coming back after two consecutive away games.

They played against two very strong teams - Levante (lost 1:0) and Alaves (0:0) - with very good performances and an undeserved defeat against Levante.

The team has a difficult week with many games but coach Abelardo has some rotation players injured so he won’t have any rotation here: best lineup will be on the field.

A strong home support is expected as always, and it’s where the team feels better because they have one of the best crowds and stadiums in the league, and the team makes a high pressure and pace from the first minute.

On the other hand, Albacete is a newly promoted team who has been overperforming. Their target is to avoid relegation and are 9th on the table with just two defeats so far. But they have been playing much above their real level in my opinion, as they have a weak squad.

They have been outplayed by all top teams, but were lucky with some penalties or chances missed by rivals.

Albacete has a short and weak squad and in 3 days will have to play again at home against one of the best teams of the league - Levante. That’s why the coach announced some rotations here today. The team simply can’t afford to put a strong squad and be competitive every three days, and their reserves are too weak because their squad (like all newly promoted teams) is too weak in comparison with the top teams (like Sporting) who have many alternatives and strong reserves.

So hosts will put a better lineup, more motivation and have much better players here. Also the home support will be important, so I’m expecting a home win here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

莱赫-波兹南-比利亚雷亚尔

在这里,主人有更多的动力。他们至少需要一分才能晋级到⅛级决赛,比比尔·舍瓦高出两分(平均进球数更高)。所以会有动力。

他们的阵容很弱,但令人惊讶的是他们的表现并不差。在4场比赛中,他们只在第一轮与比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中(4:3)输掉了比赛,在最后时刻丢了一个球,但表现相当不错。如果他们今天也这样做,他们至少可以避免失败。

但是比利亚雷亚尔是这个选择的主要原因。主教练埃梅里上周离开俱乐部去了英超,比利亚雷亚尔签下了一位新教练——基克·塞蒂安——他在过去的几年里完全离开了足球(正如他自己所说)。所以他需要时间来适应球队,看看比利亚雷亚尔最好的版本,因为他有非常清晰的风格(大量的控球和控制)。同时,球队也会失球,因为他们的防守风格非常危险。

在他的带领下,他们上周在主场2:2战平了比尔-舍瓦,周末在与竞技的比赛中表现不佳,虽然1:0失利,但获得了很多机会。

他们已经以小组第一的身份出线,所以他们会在这里放一个完全另类的阵容。不仅是为了避免疲劳,还因为他们有几名关键球员有小伤(洛·塞尔索、福伊思、佩德拉扎、阿尔比奥尔、卡普埃……)

教练希望世界杯间歇期的到来(就像他说的)能和球员们一起工作,训练他的风格,因为他们没有时间每三天打一场比赛。

所以,虽然这场比赛对波兹南至关重要,但对比利亚雷亚尔来说,这只是一个简单的程序,比赛就会这样进行。在上一场比赛中,莱赫·波兹南凭借更好的阵容和更大的动力差点与比利亚雷亚尔打成平局,所以今天在主场他们应该能够做到。

体育gijÓn -阿尔巴塞特

希洪竞技在联赛中是一支非常强大的球队,他们缺乏规律性(尤其是客场比赛)。但他们有一个伟大的阵容,应该为季后赛而战。到目前为止,他们的表现还算不错,尤其是在主场,他们在6场比赛中赢了4场(最近的三连胜),在连续两场客场比赛之后,他们将在主场复出。

他们对阵了两支非常强大的球队——莱万特(0比1输掉了比赛)和阿拉维斯(0比0输掉了比赛)——他们有着非常出色的表现,但在对阵莱万特的比赛中却遭遇了不应有的失败。

这周球队有很多比赛,但教练阿维拉多有一些轮换球员受伤了,所以他不会有任何轮换:最好的阵容会在场上。

一如既往的主场支持是意料之中的,这是球队感觉更好的地方,因为他们有联赛中最好的观众和球场之一,球队从第一分钟开始就打出了很高的压力和节奏。

另一方面,阿尔巴塞特是一支刚刚升班马的球队,一直表现出色。他们的目标是保级,目前仅输了两场球,排名第九。但在我看来,他们的表现远远超出了他们的真实水平,因为他们的阵容很弱。

他们已经被所有的顶级球队击败,但幸运的是,他们的对手错过了一些点球或机会。

阿尔巴塞特的阵容短而弱,3天后他们将不得不在主场再次对阵联赛中最好的球队之一——莱万特。这就是为什么教练今天在这里宣布了一些轮换。这支球队根本无法派出一支强大的阵容,每隔三天就有竞争力,他们的替补阵容也太弱了,因为他们的阵容(就像所有新升班马一样)与顶级球队(比如竞技)相比太弱了,后者有很多备选方案和强大的后备阵容。

所以东道主会在这里安排更好的阵容,更有动力,有更好的球员。主场的支持也很重要,所以我期待着主场取胜。


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