Huge difference here.

As said in previous times, Eibar is one of the best teams in this league. They have a big budget, a great squad and a promotion target. Furthermore, they are a very strong home team with 14 points in 6 games and are unbeaten. Their pitch is small and the team use to play with high pressure there, so it’s very difficult for the rivals to stop them.

They are struggling to achieve victories with consistency, as this season never achieved two wins in a row so far, and they need to improve that to be at the top of the table.

For this match they have some missing and fatigue (this is a difficult week with 3 games in 8 days), but it’s in this kind of fixtures where we can see the main difference between the top teams who are fighting for promotion and the average or weak teams: the top ones can rotate and maintain the high level as they have a long and better squad, while the weak ones have just 14-15 good players.

Lugo is a weak team whose main target is to avoid relegation. They have won just two games so far: one very lucky against Zaragoza (scoring at 97’) and another one at home against Burgos. Both of them were undeserved in my opinion.

This isn’t strange, because historically Lugo has always been a poor traveler. Last year for example they won just one away game in the whole season.

They have a short squad and the coach is every weekend using some young players from B team to complete the team. For today he called 6, and some of them will play.

Lugo’s stronger point is the set pieces, where they are very dangerous and is where Eibar is stronger at home, so I believe they will be able to defend it properly. Guests are an offensive away team (9 goals in 7 away matches) but I see Eibar able to keep the goal to nil here or even if necessary, score at least two goals.

After two draws at home Eibar must return to winning ways, and today they have a good chance to do it against a weaker team on paper who are also coming with fatigue and will put weaker players. Several of Eibar's reserves would be starters and important players on Lugo.

Eibar knows that to achieve the promotion (something that they lost in the last round of the previous season) must be strong at home. Last season they were the best home team of the league and this year they want to do the same.

On March, Eibar already won Lugo 1:0 at home. Today I’m expecting the same: hosts have a much better squad and will put better players on the field, especially in a midweek round with rotations and fatigue like this one, where the stronger teams are benefited.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

巨大的差异。

正如之前所说，埃巴尔是联赛中最好的球队之一。他们有很大的预算，强大的阵容和一个升级目标。此外，他们是一支非常强大的主场球队，在6场比赛中得到14分，并且保持不败。他们的场地很小，球队经常在那里打高压球，所以对手很难阻止他们。

他们正在努力取得稳定的胜利，因为本赛季到目前为止，他们从未取得过两连胜，他们需要提高这一点，以便在积分榜上名列前茅。

在这场比赛中，他们有一些缺阵和疲劳(这是一个艰难的一周，8天有3场比赛)，但正是在这种比赛中，我们可以看到正在争取升级的顶级球队和普通或弱队之间的主要区别:顶级球队可以轮换，保持高水平，因为他们有一个更长的阵容，更好的阵容，而弱队只有14-15名优秀球员。

卢戈是一支弱旅，他们的主要目标是保级。到目前为止，他们只赢了两场比赛:一场是非常幸运的对阵萨拉戈萨(97分钟进球)，另一场是在主场对阵布尔戈斯。在我看来，他们两个都不值得。

这并不奇怪，因为从历史上看，卢戈一直是个糟糕的旅行家。比如去年，他们整个赛季只赢了一场客场比赛。

他们的阵容很短，教练每个周末都会从B队找一些年轻球员来充实球队。因为今天他叫了6个，他们中的一些人会玩。

卢戈的强项是定位球，定位球非常危险，这也是埃巴尔在主场更强的地方，所以我相信他们能够很好地防守。客队是一支进攻性很强的客场球队(7场客场打进9球)，但我认为埃巴尔能够在这里将比分保持在零，甚至在必要的情况下至少打进2球。

在主场战平两场后，埃巴尔必须回到胜利的道路上，今天他们有很好的机会在对阵纸面上实力较弱的球队时做到这一点，这支球队也带着疲劳来了，将会让实力较弱的球员上场。埃巴尔的几个替补球员将是首发球员和卢戈的重要球员。

Eibar知道要想获得升级(他们在上个赛季的最后一轮失去了一些东西)，必须在主场保持强大。上赛季他们是联赛中最好的主场球队，今年他们也想做到这一点。

今年3月，埃巴尔已经在主场1:0战胜了卢戈。今天我也期待着同样的结果:东道主有更好的阵容，也会派出更好的球员上场，特别是在像这样轮休和疲劳的周中回合中，更强的球队会从中受益。