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11 of 12, the deciding match in Italy!

2022-11-02

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期四2022-11-03 04:00

解读理由

In the last round of Group E, a potentially very uncertain match awaits us. According to the current state of the table, Milan secured a place in the next phase of the Champions League, and Salzburg continues the competition in the Europa League. But there is still 90 minutes left to be played in order to know the final ranking of this group. A point is enough for both teams to stay in their current positions, but in that case, Salzburg will fear the results of Dinamo Zagreb, who are visiting Chelsea in London. I don`t really want to speculate too much about the other matches, we will focus only on this one. Milan played below expectations in the last match in the league and they lost to Torino 2-1 and it can be said that it is not exactly the best introduction to the deciding match. But one poorly played match cannot undo what Milan has done so far this season. The aforementioned defeat against Torino is only their second in 12 rounds of the domestic championship, and they occupy a very good third place in the table, despite slightly worse forecasts before the start of the championship. Before that defeat, Milan won as many as 18 out of a possible 21 points in seven league games, and that defeat can be attributed to a large number of changes in the lineup of the game at that time. Kjaer, Bennacer, Giroud and Rebic will return to the regular formation against Salzburg and their freshness will be of great importance in this game. Thanks to a safe 4-0 victory in Zagreb against Dinamo, they have their destiny in their hands, which is very important before games like this one. In addition to the advantage of the home field, Milan will have a great advantage in far greater international experience in their own ranks. Victory is not imperative for them in this match, but watching Milan this season and taking into account certain shortcomings that Salzburg has in defense, I sincerely believe that Milan will win in this match.

As for Salzburg, this match will be one of the biggest in their career so far for a large number of their players. Great inexperience and too much respect for such clubs can be of key importance today. This was best seen in the previous match against Celsi, in which they were in a subordinate position for most of the time. Salzburg had a disastrous 50% passing rate (115 out of 230 passes), the second-lowest in the history of the Champions League. Aware of their possibilities against the famous club, I do not believe that they will try to control the game and go for victory in this match. Honestly, it is very difficult to expect Dinamo Zagreb to win three points against Chelsea and to threaten Salzburg in that way. In that case, they would have to take more risks, but with this state of the table, there is really no need for that. The greatest threat to Milan's goal will certainly be the excellent Benjamin Sesko, and there is no doubt that the Italians know this very well and that they will pay extra attention to him. If they manage to stop him, Salzburg will be quite harmless in attack and Milan will have a much easier task in that case. There are a lot of factors that favor Milan in this match and I believe that they will not be satisfied with a point in this match, but that they will want to win all three points in front of the full stands of San Siro.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在E组的最后一轮,一场可能非常不确定的比赛等待着我们。根据目前积分榜的状况,米兰获得了下一阶段欧冠的席位,而萨尔茨堡则继续在欧联杯中竞争。但要想知道这个小组的最终排名还有90分钟的时间。1分足以让两支球队保住目前的位置,但在这种情况下,萨尔茨堡将担心萨格勒布迪纳摩的结果,后者将在伦敦客场挑战切尔西。我真的不想对其他比赛做太多猜测,我们只会关注这场比赛。米兰在上一场联赛中的表现低于预期,他们2-1输给了都灵,可以说这并不是对决胜战的最好介绍。但是一场糟糕的比赛并不能抹杀米兰本赛季迄今为止所取得的成就。前面提到的输给都灵只是他们在12轮国内联赛中的第二场失利,他们在积分榜上占据了非常好的第三位,尽管在联赛开始前的预测略差。在那次失败之前,米兰在7场联赛中赢得了多达18分的21分,而那次失败可以归因于当时比赛阵容的大量变化。在对阵萨尔茨堡的比赛中,卡耶尔、本纳切尔、吉鲁和雷比奇将回归常规阵型,他们的新鲜感将在这场比赛中发挥重要作用。多亏了在萨格勒布4-0战胜迪纳摩,他们的命运掌握在自己手中,这在像这样的比赛之前是非常重要的。除了主场的优势,米兰还有一个巨大的优势,那就是在他们自己的队伍中有更丰富的国际经验。这场比赛的胜利对他们来说并不是必须的,但是观察米兰本赛季的表现,考虑到萨尔茨堡在防守上的某些不足,我真诚地相信米兰会在这场比赛中获胜。

对于萨尔茨堡来说,这场比赛将是他们职业生涯中最重要的一场比赛,对他们的很多球员来说都是如此。对这样的俱乐部缺乏经验和太过尊重在今天是非常重要的。这在之前对阵塞尔西的比赛中得到了最好的体现,在那场比赛中他们大部分时间都处于从属地位。萨尔茨堡的传球率是灾难性的50%(230次传球中有115次),是欧冠历史上第二低的。意识到他们对阵著名俱乐部的可能性,我不相信他们会试图控制比赛并在这场比赛中取得胜利。说实话,很难指望萨格勒布迪纳摩在对阵切尔西的比赛中赢得三分,并以这种方式威胁到萨尔茨堡。在这种情况下,他们将不得不承担更多的风险,但在表的这种状态下,真的没有必要那样做。米兰进球的最大威胁无疑是出色的塞斯科,毫无疑问,意大利人非常清楚这一点,他们会格外关注他。如果他们成功地阻止了他,萨尔茨堡在进攻上就会变得毫无威胁,而在这种情况下,米兰的任务就容易多了。在这场比赛中,有很多因素对米兰有利,我相信他们不会满足于这场比赛的一分,但他们会想在圣西罗的满座看台前赢得所有的三分。


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