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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Serie A: Great stats and big squad info

2020-12-20

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2020-12-20 19:30

解读理由

In my opinion Torino have excellent chances to make at least one point in this match up.

Torino have very good record at home against Bologna - they lost only 2 of last 14 home matches against them. Torino don't have problems with goalscoring against Bologna - they scored at least one goal in 26 of last 27 home matches against them! They should be able to continue this streak as Bologna have the worst Serie A defense in December - they conceded 10 goals in 3 matches. Bologna as well is very slow starter - they conceded 13 goals in first half so far (10 of last 12), only Crotone (last position in table) have worse record than Bologna in first halfs.

Torino today is without Millico (he played only 19 minutes so far), left defender Murru (5 matches), offensive midfielder Verdi (2 assists in 9 matches), striker Zaza (1 goal in 6 matches), left midfielder Ansaldi (1 goal in 9 matches), midfielder Baselli (0 matches) and right midfielder Singo (1 assist in 10 matches). That shouldn't be big problem, only last one from these players played in last round against Roma. Torino top players like Belotti, Rincon, Lukic or Bonazzoli are available today. On the other hand Bologna have serious squad problems before today's match, list of unavailable players:

Striker #9 Santander,

Right winger #7 Orsolini (2 goals and 1 assist in 9 matches)

Right winger Olsen (1 assist in 3 matches),

First goalkeeper Skorupski (10 matches),

Left winger #10 Sansone (7 matches),

Defensive midfielder Schouten (10 matches),

Left defender Hickey (8 matches),

And his replacement left defender Mbaye.

As You can see 7 players from that list in normal conditions would play in first Bologna team. This is big blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

Torino scored 11 goals in 6 home matches, Bologna scored only 6 goals in 6 away matches. Torino in these matches conceded 16 goals, but they should less (expected goals conceded: 8.57). Fiorentina in 6 away matches conceded 11 goals (expected goals conceded: 10.92).

I trust for hosts here.

在我看来,都灵有极好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。

都灵在主场对博洛尼亚的战绩非常不错——他们在过去14场主场比赛中只输了2场。都灵在对博洛尼亚的比赛中没有进球的问题——他们在最近27场主场比赛中有26场至少进了一个球!他们应该可以继续保持这种连胜,因为博洛尼亚在12月的意甲防守是最差的——他们在3场比赛中丢了10球。博洛尼亚的开局也非常慢——他们上半场丢了13个球(过去12个球中的10个),只有克罗托内(积分榜上最后一个位置)在上半场的记录比博洛尼亚差。

都灵今天没有米利科(他到目前为止只打了19分钟),左边后卫穆鲁(5场),进攻中场威尔第(2次助攻在9场比赛中),射手扎扎(6场比赛1球),左中场安萨尔迪(9场比赛1球),中场巴塞利(并未参赛)和右中场辛戈(10场比赛1助攻)。这应该不是大问题,只有最后一位在上一轮对阵罗马的比赛中踢了最后一个球。都灵的顶级球员如贝洛蒂、林肯、卢卡奇和博那佐利今天都可以上场。另一方面,博洛尼亚在今天的比赛前有严重的阵容问题,缺阵球员名单:

前锋9号桑坦德

右边锋7号奥索里尼(9场比赛进2球1助攻)

右边锋奥尔森(3场比赛1次助攻)

第一门将斯科鲁普斯基(10场),

左边锋桑松(7场比赛),

防守中场舒腾(10场比赛),

左后卫希基(8场比赛),

和他的替补左后卫姆巴耶。

你可以看到名单上的7名球员在正常情况下会出现在博洛尼亚首发阵容中。这对球队是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。

都灵在6场主场比赛中攻入11球,博洛尼亚在6场客场比赛中仅攻入6球。都灵在这些比赛中丢了16个球,但他们本应该少一些(预期失球:8.57)。佛罗伦萨在6场客场比赛中丢了11球(预期失球:10.92)。

我看好都灵得分

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