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A very interesting game in Portugal! 欧冠波尔图VS马竞

2022-11-01

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期三2022-11-02 01:45

解读理由

Different motivation here.

Oporto has already qualified for ⅛ finals, which is a big success for them. Although they aren’t a very strong team this season (are sitting 3rd in the Portuguese league) and their performances weren’t strong either, they managed to do it thanks to the poor level of Bayer Leverkusen (they won them twice) and some luck in important games.

For example against Brujas when they won 0:4, with 0:1 hosts missed a penalty. The same against Bayer Leverkusen when they won 0:2, hosts missed a penalty and had a goal disallowed by VAR with 0:1. Then, in the other victory 2:0 against Bayer Leverkusen, they again missed a penalty with 0:0.

Their only motivation now is to try to be 1st in the group, where Brugge is now one point above.

But Atletico de Madrid has a lot of important things at play here. Already out of the Champions League, they must achieve 3rd place for the Europa League. Surely they will be very motivated because it would be terrible for the club (and their finances) to not play any European tournament, which is their main target.

They just need to do more than Bayer Leverkusen: are point above but with the goal average lost. This means that they can’t be relaxed here: if they lose and Bayer Leverkusen achieves a draw (at home vs Brugge), Atletico Madrid will be out of the Europa League.

Their recent performances have been terrible, but this team has the quality to do things much better. They are just being a bit unlucky in some games (0:0 vs Brugge where they dominated and had a lot of chances, 2:2 vs Bayer Leverkusen where they deserved to win and missed a penalty in the last minute…). But they have been outplaying rivals and creating chances.

I think that guests have much more motivation here: the future (financially speaking) of the club may be in risk for this season, and also personally I think that they have more quality, so the double chance looks like a great bet here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

不同的动机。

波尔图已经获得了打入决赛的资格,这对他们来说是一个巨大的成功。虽然他们本赛季不是一支非常强大的球队(在葡萄牙联赛中排名第三),他们的表现也不强,但他们能够做到这一点,要感谢勒沃库森的糟糕水平(他们两次赢得了冠军)和一些重要比赛中的运气。

例如对阵布鲁哈斯,他们0:4获胜,0:1的东道主罚丢了一个点球。同样的情况也发生在对阵勒沃库森的比赛中,当时他们0:2取胜,东道主罚丢了一个点球,并且在0:1的比分中有一个进球被VAR判无效。然后,在另一场2:0战胜勒沃库森的比赛中,他们又在0:0罚丢了点球。

他们现在唯一的动机是争取小组第一,布鲁日现在领先一分。

但是马德里竞技在这里有很多重要的事情要做。已经从欧冠出局的他们必须取得欧联杯第三名。当然,他们会非常有动力,因为不参加任何欧洲比赛对俱乐部(和他们的财政)来说都是糟糕的,这是他们的主要目标。

他们只需要比勒沃库森做得更多:他们比勒沃库森多1分,但平均进球数下降了。这意味着他们在这里不能放松:如果他们输球,勒沃库森取得平局(主场对阵布鲁日),马竞将无缘欧联杯。

他们最近的表现很糟糕,但这支球队有能力做得更好。他们只是在一些比赛中有点不走运(0:0击败布鲁日,他们占据了优势,有很多机会,2:2击败勒沃库森,他们本该赢球,但在最后一分钟罚丢了点球……)但他们一直在战胜对手,创造机会。

我认为这里的客人更有动力:俱乐部的未来(财务上的)可能在这个赛季处于风险之中,而且我个人认为他们的质量更高,所以双倍的机会看起来是一个很好的赌注。


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