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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Even more profit from Finland?

2022-10-30

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期日2022-10-30 21:00

解读理由

Haka VS VPS


Haka welcome visitors from Vaasa at Tehtaan kenttä Stadion for this Finnish Veikkausliiga Conference League play offs finals second leg. The winner will earn a ticket the UEFA Conference League qualification next season. This would be a very big achievement for both teams as neither VPS or Haka have played in UEFA's competitions for a very long time. However, VPS's chances here are very small as they lost the first leg 0-3 at home earlier this week bringing my fans and me yet another winner betting on my home country's football. They will now have to take massive risks and I do not believe this will end well! Haka were clearly the better team in the first leg recording 17 scoring attempts – VPS's number was just nine. Haka also had seven shots on goal – pathetic VPS managed just one! My estimation, 44% for Haka to win, was probably too low. Here we have a 59% chance of winning.

Let's go through some facts from the regular season – before the teams were divided into two groups – Championship group and Relegation group after 22 rounds of play. Haka grabbed 37 points and VPS took 22 points. That is a substantial difference and in my view illustrates the difference in pure class between the teams in tjhe longer run – not just in the first leg. Haka are an excellent home team and despite the pretty cold weather here in Finland I expect a pretty good number of fans at the stadium to celebrate the very probable win an aggregate here! Haka's star striker, Scottish Lee Erwin scored all three goals in the first leg and I believe VPS will not be able to stop him here either! Both teams have had a very positive season as whole so far and have surprised me positively even though I did expect them to do much than the betting market or many football journalists here in Finland did.. VPS were promoted to Veikkausliiga for this season and all Finnish football fans have surely loved the way they have played – not just defending but actually attacking too. They have, as a result, got a lot of positive coverage in the Finnish media and it seems the odds are have been affected during this season quite much by this..I want to highlight that the Championship was of course much better than the Relegation group.. I believe VPS have, in reality, lost hope to win by the required three goals' difference here and have to admit the fact that Haka are much better!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

毛利族VS VPS

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哈卡在德黑兰kenttä球场欢迎来自瓦阿萨的游客,观看芬兰韦克考斯里加联盟附加赛决赛次回合比赛。获胜者将获得一张下赛季欧足联联赛资格的入场券。这对两支球队来说都是一个非常大的成就,因为无论是副总统还是哈卡都没有很长时间参加欧足联的比赛。然而,VPS在这里的机会非常小,因为他们在本周早些时候在主场0-3输掉了首回合比赛,给我和我的球迷带来了又一个赌祖国足球的赢家。他们现在将不得不承担巨大的风险,我不相信这会有好结果!在首回合的比赛中,哈卡显然更胜一筹,他们有17次进球尝试,而VPS的进球次数只有9次。哈卡也有7次射门,可怜的VPS只有1次!我估计哈卡有44%的胜算,这可能太低了。这里我们有59%的几率获胜。

让我们回顾一下常规赛的一些事实——在球队被分为两个小组之前——在经过22轮比赛后,冠军小组和降级小组。哈卡拿下37分,VPS拿下22分。这是一个实质性的差异,在我看来,这说明了两支球队在长期比赛中在级别上的差异——而不仅仅是首回合的差异。哈卡是一支优秀的主队,尽管芬兰这里的天气很冷,我预计会有很多球迷在球场庆祝很可能的总比分胜利!哈卡的明星前锋,苏格兰人李·欧文在首回合的比赛中打进了全部3球,我相信VPS在这里也无法阻止他!到目前为止,两支球队都有一个非常积极的赛季,这给我带来了积极的惊喜,尽管我本以为他们会比博彩市场或芬兰的许多足球记者做得更好。VPS在本赛季升入了Veikkausliiga,所有芬兰球迷肯定都喜欢他们的踢球方式——不仅是防守,而且还有进攻。因此,他们在芬兰媒体上得到了很多正面的报道,似乎这个赛季的赔率受到了很大的影响。我想强调的是,英冠当然比保级组好得多。我相信,在现实中,VPS已经失去了以三球差取胜的希望,并且不得不承认哈卡比他们强得多!


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