1 of the 5 German Bundesliga games on Saturday night is going to be between RB Leipzig and Leverkusen Bayer 04. When 11 games have been played, Leipzig is in 8th position with 16 points while Leverkusen is 15th and only 1 spot ahead of relegation playoffs. Leipzig has been the best home team in the tournament with 4 wins and 1 draw (14 goals scored, 4 allowed) but Bayer is only 14th best on the road with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (6 goals scored, 12 allowed).

This week both teams played in the UEFA Champions League. Leipzig became the first team that handed Real Madrid its first loss this season (3:2) and that is a big step toward the playoffs. Bayer 04 drew against Madrid Atletico on the road (2:2) and made Atletico fans very angry because they won't qualify for the next phase, as well as Leverkusen, and will try to secure a spot in the Europa League and that's the goal for Bayer as well as the difference between both teams is only 1 point.

While Leipzig played at home on Tuesday, Bayer had an away game on Wednesday. This game will also happen in front of the Leipzig fans and home players will be fresher. At home, RB Leipzig is expected to score 2.01 goals (4th best) while Leverkusen is 13th best on the road with 1.23 expected goals. From the defensive perspective, the advantage also goes to Leipzig - 1.20 expected allowed goals at home (4th best) against 2.14 on the road for Bayer (4th worst).

During the season, RB Leipzig changed the manager from Domenico Tedesco to Marco Rose and the results have been great as the team hasn't lost 8 straight games since the international break. Last week in the Bundesliga Leipzig was down by 0:3 but they managed to come back against Augsburg. At the start of October, Leverkusen beat Schalke but since then the team hasn't won in 4 straight games. The only away win for Leverkusen was in the 4th game this season, and the team has lost the last 2 away games.

While RB Leipzig won't miss any of the important goal-scorers this season, Leverkusen is going to be without Kerem Demirbay (3rd best scorer) and Charles Aranguiz (5th best). The hosts have been in excellent form of late and it would be a surprise if Leverkusen were to end their unbeaten run considering struggles this season. I'm confident that Leipzig will take 3 points in this match.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

周六晚上的五场德甲比赛中，有一场将在莱比锡和勒沃库森拜尔04之间进行。11场比赛结束后，莱比锡积16分排名第8，勒沃库森排名第15，距离保级季后赛仅一步之差。莱比锡4胜1平(进14球失4球)是本届杯赛主场表现最好的球队，但拜耳1胜1平3负(进6球失12球)仅排在第14位。

本周两支球队都参加了欧洲冠军联赛。莱比锡成为皇马本赛季首败的球队(3:2)，这是他们向季后赛迈出的一大步。拜耳04客场以2:2战平了马德里竞技，这让马竞的球迷非常愤怒，因为他们无法晋级下一阶段的比赛，勒沃库森也是如此，他们将努力确保在欧联杯的席位，这是拜耳的目标，两支球队之间的差距只有1分。

莱比锡周二在主场比赛，而拜耳周三有一场客场比赛。这场比赛也将在莱比锡的球迷面前进行，主场的球员将会更加清醒。在主场，莱比锡预计进球数为2.01球(排名第4)，勒沃库森预计进球数为1.23球，排名第13。从防守的角度来看，莱比锡也占据了优势——主场失球1.20个(倒数第四)，客场失球2.14个(倒数第四)。

在本赛季，莱比锡将主教练从多梅尼科·特德斯科换成了马尔科·罗斯，结果很好，球队在国际比赛日之后没有连输8场。上周在德甲，莱比锡0:3落后，但他们设法在对阵奥格斯堡时扳回了比分。10月初，勒沃库森击败了沙尔克，但从那以后，球队已经连续4场比赛没有赢过了。勒沃库森唯一的客场胜利是在本赛季的第4场比赛，而球队最近2场客场都输了。

虽然莱比锡不会错过任何重要的射手，但勒沃库森将失去德米尔贝(最佳射手第三名)和阿兰奎斯(最佳射手第五名)。东道主最近状态很好，考虑到本赛季的挣扎，如果勒沃库森能结束他们的不败纪录，那将是一个惊喜。我相信莱比锡会在这场比赛中拿到3分。