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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on!

2022-10-27

比赛分析

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2022-10-28 00:45

解读理由

Zurich VS Bodo Glimt


Zurich host Bodo Glimt for this UEFA Europa League round 5 clash at Letzigrund Stadion. he hosts are a Swiss team – the visitors come from Norway. The situation going into this match is pretty clear: The hosts need a win to keep their hopes of taking 3rd place here and qualifying for the Conference League 1/16 finals. They are having a disappointing season both in this competition and in their domestic league. I must admit that I – along with many other professional football bettors as well as football analysts have probably over-estimated them so far this season. However, the bookies seem to have lost hope on them and they are now offered way too high odds! I believe they will fight hard in front of their fans and be aggressive here right from the start. The potential is there and it is only a matter of time before they start improving. Let's not forget about some facts here.According to a well-known and respected German website Transfermarkt.com the hosts’ squad is valued at around 33 million euros. The visitors’ players have a total market value of just 22.80 million. Even so, Bodo Glimt have looked so much better than the hosts so far in this competition that I do rate them as favorites here but only with a winning chance of 41% l - indeed, my fans and I have a 59% chance of winning with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The market values can, of course be, misleading, but the bookies and many professional football bettors pay more and more attention to these numbers.. The football (players) market is, after all, a global one. However, if two players are equally good and one of them is 23 years old and the other is 33 years old the younger guy, of course, has a much bigger market value. In my view the approximately 33 million is slightly too high! Cadiz are, in my view, slightly stronger on the pitch than the 21.80 million would indicate..

We must not forget that the Swiss Super League is of much better quality than the Elitserien offering Zurich matches with faster tempo and more skilled opponents. Let’s also remember that winning the championship last year means that they were better than Young Boys who even beat Manchester United in the Champions League Group phase.. 11 days ago Zurich took a point from Young Boys, who currently top the standings, at home through a goalless draw. The bookies should respect them more Bodo Glimt have had a mediocre season as they currently occupy the 2nd place but are whopping 15 points behind the leaders Molde. In Norway some six weeks ago Bodo beat Zurich 2-1 and were the better team but not by a big gap. They did have 58% ball possession but both teams recorded four shots in target. At home, on artificial turf, the Norwegians are much better than on the road. Both teams lost to Arsenal by one goal's difference at home and Zurich in fact fought very well against the superior English side who current top the Premier League standings.

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