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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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4th WINNER in a row? 欧协联沙姆洛克VS根特

2022-10-27

比赛分析

主队沙姆洛克LOGO

沙姆洛克

欧协联

已完赛

星期五2022-10-28 03:00

客队根特LOGO

根特

解读理由

Shamrock Rovers VS Gent


Shamrock Rovers welcome Gent for this UEFA Conference League round 5 clash at Tallaght Stadium . The hosts are the reigning Irish champions – the visitors come from Belgium. The situation going into this match is pretty clear: The hosts have no chance of qualifying for the play offs as they have not grabbed any points so far with two rounds of play remaining. They have not even scored a single goal so far and have been even worse than i would have expected! It was clear even before the group phase took that they are clearly the worst team in this group though. It seems that the bookies still, however, fail to fully recognize just have big the gaps to Djurgården, Molde and Gent actually is! Gent have grabbed four points so far and are in third place and have a score difference of 5:5 The still have a genuine chance of making it to the 1/16-finals where the the who finished in 2nd place qualify for. Molde (2nd) currently have seven points to their account. In terms of expected points Gent would definitely have deserved more than the four points.

In their most recent match in this competition they traveled to Sweden and lost to Djurgården 2-4. This final score is, however, extremely misleading! The Belgian visitors had 57% ball possession and recorded much more goal attempts(20-8), passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Djurgården were indeed efficient in making most of their scoring chances and Gent must also be angry at themselves for the defensive mistakes.. They will surely improve their defense in this match. Matches like this do happen in football if this match was played again I would say Gent would have close to 60% chance of winning.. Here I see the Gent's chance of winning being 69%. They have massive edge in all areas of the game! The biggest difference in offensive quality – especially in the strikers' and defenders' individual skill level. Shamrock Rovers are capable of defending in a pretty organized way especially at home and will surely fight hard here. However, they do not have the best home crowd and with nothing to play for I estimate the home advantage here being smaller than clubs in this competition on average have. In their most recent match in this group they faced Molde at home and played above their normal level and even did create some scoring chances and goal expectancy but still lost 0-2! I rate Gent as slightly better than Molde by pure class so the hosts getting even a point here would be a surprise. In Belgium Gent easily swept past Shamrock Rovers 3-0 and the difference in quality was very easy to see on the pitch! Lastly, I want to highlight that the level of Irish premier League is very low by European standards. Most matches in this league are way too low-level. especially in terms of tempo to prepare the hosts to compete successfully against teams of Gent's caliber. The Belgian Jupiler Pro League on the other hand is of pretty-high level. Club Brugge even qualified for the Champions League Play Offs and might even win the their group!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

三叶草流浪者VS金特队

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三叶草流浪者欢迎根特在塔拉体育场进行欧联联赛第五轮的比赛。东道主是上届爱尔兰冠军——客队来自比利时。这场比赛的情况非常清楚:东道主没有机会进入附加赛,因为他们到目前为止还剩下两轮比赛,没有拿到任何积分。到目前为止,他们连一个球都没进,比我想象的还要糟糕!很明显,在小组赛开始之前,他们就已经是这个小组中最差的球队了。然而,似乎赌徒们还是没有完全认识到刚刚有很大的差距到Djurgården,莫德和金特其实是!到目前为止,金特已经拿到了4分,排名第三,比分差距为5:5,他们仍然有真正的机会进入1/16决赛,谁谁谁获得了第二名的资格。排名第二的莫德目前已经获得7分。就预期积分而言,根特绝对应该得到比这四分更多的积分。

在最近的一场比赛中,他们前往瑞典,以2-4输给了Djurgården。然而,这个最后的分数是极具误导性的!比利时客队的控球率为57%,进球次数(20-8次)、传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻都要多得多。Djurgården他们确实有效地创造了大部分的进球机会,金特也一定对自己的防守失误感到愤怒。在这场比赛中他们一定会提高防守水平。这样的比赛在足球界确实会发生,如果再来一场的话,我认为根特队有接近60%的机会获胜。这里我看到根特队获胜的几率是69%。他们在游戏的所有领域都有巨大的优势!最大的差异在于进攻质量——尤其是前锋和后卫的个人技术水平。三叶草流浪者有很强的防守能力,尤其是在主场,他们一定会在这里打得很艰苦。然而,他们没有最好的主场观众,而且没有什么可踢的,我估计他们在这里的主场优势比参加这项比赛的俱乐部的平均优势要小。在这个小组的最近一场比赛中,他们在主场对阵莫尔德,发挥超出了他们的正常水平,甚至创造了一些进球机会和进球预期,但仍然以0-2输掉了比赛!我认为金特比莫尔德稍微好一点,所以东道主在这里得到一分将是一个惊喜。在比利时,根特3-0轻松横扫三叶草流浪者,双方的实力差异在球场上非常明显!最后,我想强调的是,以欧洲标准来看,爱尔兰超级联赛的水平是非常低的。这个联赛的大多数比赛都太低级了。特别是在节奏方面,让东道主做好准备,成功地与根特的实力球队竞争。另一方面,比利时木星职业联赛的水平相当高。布鲁日俱乐部甚至获得了欧冠附加赛的资格,甚至可能在他们的小组中获胜!


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