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Confident Champions League picks! 欧冠马竞VS勒沃库森 欧冠热刺VS里斯本

2022-10-26

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期四2022-10-27 03:00

欧冠

已完赛

星期四2022-10-27 03:00

解读理由

Very important matchday in the UEFA Champions League. In group B, Atletico Madrid is going to host Leverkusen Bayer. The Spanish team is 3rd in the standings with 4 points while Bayer has 3. Second-place Porto has 6 points so this is a very important game for Atletico because their last group-stage game is going to be against Porto and chances to qualify for the playoffs are still good. In this game, I'm predicting Atletico's victory.

All points Atletico has earned in front of their fans. Madrid players should be in a good mood as they haven't lost the last 5 games and haven’t tasted defeat at home to German opponents since 1996. Leverkusen changed its manager a few weeks ago but he hasn't still collected the first victory and the team is on 3 away game losing streak which includes a 1-5 defeat to Eintracht and the team has lost 10 out of the last 18 games. History doesn't give encouragement because the German team hasn't won the last 8 out of 10 away games on the international stage.

Both teams have scored twice in the group stage while Atletico has conceded 5 times but Bayer - 6. Atletico is expected to score 2.13 goals at home but Bayer is expected to score 1.93 on the road. From the defensive perspective, a little edge goes to Atletico as well - 1.35 expected allowed goals in front of their fans but Bayer on the road is expected to concede 1.39 goals. During the last 5 games, Atletico has allowed 4 goals but Bayer has 10 allowed in the last 3.

Atletico Madrid has improved over the past month and will need to work hard to reach the knock-out stages of the UEFA Champions League. The likes of Alvaro Morata and Antoine Griezmann have stepped up in recent weeks and will need to prove their mettle this week and I'm confident with Madrid collecting 3 points.

Another important game will be in London between Tottenham and Sporting. The English team is the leader of Group D with 7 points but the next two teams have collected 6 points and one of them is Sporting. The next game for Tottenham is going to be against Marseille on the road so it is very important to get 3 points at home where Tottenham has got 6 points in this group stage. A few days ago, Tottenham lost to Newcastle United and it was the team's first loss at home this season with 7 wins and 1 draw before it. Sporting last weekend ended 2 game losing streak but the team hasn't won in any of their last 8 England trips in UEFA competitions.

During the group phase, Tottenham has scored 5 times and conceded 4 while Sporting has 6 scored and 6 allowed goals. From the xG perspective, the edge goes to Tottenham with 1.65 expected goals at home but Sporting on the road is expected to score only 0.90 goals. In front of their fans, Tottenham is expected to allow 1.26 goals but Sporting on the road - 1.86.

Tottenham Hotspur has emerged victorious in 6 of their 7 home European matches against Portuguese opposition. Both Spurs and Sporting are in need of a win here. But the Spurs have been rather formidable at home and haven't suffered from a shortage of goals on home soil. Sporting has a depleted defense due to their injury problems and will be without Pedro Goncalves, who is suspended, while Tottenham will miss Dejan Kulusevski and Richarlison.

Both teams aren't having the best time right now but now they need to show their best football as this game will decide a lot of things. I'm confident in saying that Tottenham will win because of their good home results and the heam hasn't lost 3 games in a row for more than 18 months.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这是欧洲冠军联赛中非常重要的比赛日。B组,马竞将主场迎战勒沃库森拜耳。西班牙队以4分排名第三,而拜耳有3分。第二名波尔图积6分,所以这对马竞来说是一场非常重要的比赛,因为他们小组赛的最后一场比赛将是对阵波尔图,晋级季后赛的机会仍然很大。在这场比赛中,我预测马竞会获胜。

马竞的所有积分都是在球迷面前获得的。马德里的球员们应该有一个好心情,因为他们在过去的5场比赛中没有输过,而且自1996年以来还没有在主场输给过德国对手。勒沃库森在几周前更换了主教练,但他还没有拿到第一场胜利,球队正在客场3连败,其中1-5输给了埃因赫特,球队在过去18场比赛中输了10场。历史并没有给予他们鼓励,因为德国队在国际舞台上的10场客场比赛中没有赢过8场。

两支球队都在小组赛中梅开二度,而马竞丢球5次,而拜耳丢球6次。马竞有望在主场打进2.13球,而拜耳则有望在客场打进1.93球。从防守的角度来看,马竞也有一点优势——在球迷面前失球1.35个,而拜耳客场失球1.39个。在过去的5场比赛中,马竞丢了4球,而拜耳在过去的3场比赛中丢了10球。

在过去的一个月里,马竞已经有了很大的进步,他们需要加倍努力才能进入欧冠淘汰赛阶段。像莫拉塔和格列兹曼这样的球员在最近几周都有所进步,他们需要在本周证明自己的勇气,我对马德里拿到3分充满信心。

另一场重要的比赛将在伦敦热刺队和竞技队之间进行。英格兰队以7分在D组排名第一,但接下来的两支球队已经拿到了6分,其中一支是竞技队。热刺的下一场比赛将是客场对阵马赛,所以在主场拿到3分是非常重要的,而热刺在小组赛已经拿到了6分。几天前,热刺输给了纽卡斯尔联,这是球队本赛季在主场7胜1平的首场失利。上周末,竞技队结束了2连败,但他们最近8次前往英格兰参加欧足联的比赛都没有赢过。

在小组赛阶段,热刺打进5球丢4球,而竞技打进6球丢6球。从xG的角度来看,热刺以1.65个预期进球领先,而客场的竞技则只有0.90个进球。在他们的球迷面前,热刺预计失球1.26个,而客场的竞技失球1.86个。

托特纳姆热刺在7场欧洲主场对阵葡萄牙对手的比赛中取得了6场胜利。热刺和竞技都需要一场胜利。但是热刺在主场的表现相当令人生畏,而且在主场也没有出现进球不足的情况。由于伤病问题,竞技的后防线被削弱,佩德罗·贡萨尔维斯将因停赛缺席比赛,而热刺将失去德扬·库鲁塞夫斯基和理查利森。

两支球队现在都没有最好的状态,但是现在他们需要展示他们最好的足球,因为这场比赛将决定很多事情。我有信心说热刺会赢,因为他们的主场战绩不错,而且他们已经18个多月没有连输过3场比赛了。


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