Sligo Rovers VS Derry City

Sligo Rovers welcome Derry City for this Irish Premier League round 33 clash at Showgrounds early Tuesday Beijing time. This is a pretty low level league by European standards and there are many better matches to watch for entertainment today. However, our goal is to make money and I have indeed once again spotted a lucrative match to bet on. My fans and I have won seven picks in a row betting on this league. Derry City are superior here by pure class and gave a clearly edge overt the hosts in all areas of the game! They have biggest difference over the in defensive quality. The visitors have allowed just 25 goals so far – only Shamrock Rovers who currently top the standings have conceded fewer goals – 22. Sligo Rovers, on the other hand, have allowed 41 goals. Derry City also have a lot offensive power by Irish Premier League standards and netted the ball 53 times. They currently occupy the second place on the standings with 65 points - Shamrock have 73 points but have played one more game. 36 rounds will be played and as the two top teams face each other once more this season Derry City still have a chance to win the championship and a ticket to Champions League qualification next season! This means they are very motivated here. Sligo are in 5th place with 45 points their account and have nothing to play for.. It is totally understandable that odds on them to win have come down with the biggest and sharpest bookies with the highest betting limits. Their odds are still too high in my opinion though as I see them having a 66% chance of winning with today's expected lineups.

Derry Cityn are in amazingly good form and have not lost any of their latest 16 games! Moreover, they have won eight of their latest 10 matches, most of these after fine performances. On the 18th of last match they needed extra time to beat Shamrock Rovers in FAI Cup quarter-finals 3-1. I see these two teams equal at the moment. Derry City would have deserved some three more points than the 65 in terms of expected points. The bookies should respect them more! The hosts, on the other hand, have been lucky this season in both expected goals and expected points. The visitors were extremely unlucky in their most recent match against Shelbourne. It was a 1-1 draw at home despite Derry having 70% ball possession and recording much more goal attempts (18-4) as well as passes, completed passes, attacks, dangerous attacks and goal expectancy. This sometimes happens in football and I have not reacted to this result but it seems the betting market has.. Sligo grabbed a 3-3 away from home draw against a good team Dundalk in their most recent game. They definitely played above their normal level but Dundalk still would have deserved a narrow win. I would not be surprised if Sligo failed to score here against the well-structured Derry City defense- 0-1 or 0-2 if I would have to pick a score.