Celta should win here.

Celta is coming to this game from an awful defeat 4:1 against Valladolid in the midweek. This should give them a lot of motivation in this home game, to show that it was just an accident and make a better performance. Especially because the team is in crisis of results, with 5 defeats in the last 6 games. But those 6 games were almost all against top teams (Barcelona, Atletico Madrid, Betis, Real Sociedad…).

Celta has quality in their team and should be in the top10 of the league easily. At home is where the team performs better, and as coach said: “we want to clear our image and need to leave the three points at home either way”. And they have the quality to do it.

On the other hand, Getafe is playing so badly. The coach is using a very defensive system and strategy: try to not concede goals, play for the draw and if they have luck to score some goal, that’s ok. If not, draw is enough too.

But this plan isn’t good when you have a weak defense like Getafe has, conceding many chances and goals (18 already in 10 games).

Majority of their points they have, were achieved luckily. For example against Rayo (0:0) clearly deserved to lose, as hosts missed a penalty and had a goal disallowed by VAR. Against Osasuna (0:2) they were lucky with an early red card to the hosts (and chances missed), while Villarreal (0:0) was undeserved and Real Sociedad (won 2:1) they were outplayed.

They are 18th on the table with just 9 points but even some of them were lucky and undeserved.

Although the team has quality, their tactics of being defensive and playing for the draw won’t be good for them never. They don't have the enough quality at the back to achieve goals to nil (just two this season, one of them with a penalty missed by rivals) which is essential for their plan.

I’m expecting a match dominated by Celta, trying to win from the first minute and with huge motivation after their awful performance and defeat in Valladolid just 3 days ago. On the other hand, Getafe will park the bus and try to make a boring game without too many goals. But if they leave the ball to Celta, hosts will become bigger and bigger in the game, with more confidence and with the quality they have upfront, will find the way to score and win the game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

塞尔塔是在周中4:1惨败瓦拉多利德之后来到这场比赛的。这应该会给他们在主场比赛中更多的动力，证明这只是一个意外，并做出更好的表现。特别是因为球队在过去的6场比赛中5场失利，结果出现了危机。但这6场比赛几乎都是对阵顶级球队(巴萨、马竞、贝蒂斯、皇家社会……)。

塞尔塔的球队很有实力，应该能轻松进入联赛前十。主场是球队表现更好的地方，正如教练所说:“我们想要清理我们的形象，无论如何都需要把三分留在主场。”他们有能力做到这一点。

另一方面，赫塔菲踢得很糟糕。教练正在使用一种非常防守的体系和策略:尽量不失球，争取平局，如果他们幸运地进了一些球，那就没问题。如果没有，画也足够了。

但是当你有一个像赫塔菲这样的薄弱防守时，这个计划就不太好了，丢了很多机会和进球(10场比赛已经丢了18个)。

他们的大多数观点都是幸运的。例如对阵拉约(0:0)显然应该输球，因为主队丢了一个点球，并且有一个进球被VAR判无效。对阵奥萨苏纳(0:2)，他们很幸运，早早就被主队吃到红牌(错失了机会)，而比利亚雷亚尔(0:0)不应该，皇家社会(2:1取胜)被击败。

他们仅以9分排在积分榜第18位，但即使是他们中的一些人也是幸运的，不值得。

虽然这支球队有实力，但他们的防守战术和争取平局的战术对他们永远都不会有好处。他们在后防线上没有足够的能力实现零进球(本赛季只有两个进球，其中一个点球被对手罚失)，这对他们的计划至关重要。

我期待着一场由塞尔塔主导的比赛，他们试图从第一分钟就取得胜利，在3天前在瓦拉多利德的糟糕表现和失利后，他们充满了巨大的动力。另一方面，赫塔菲会停好车，试着做一场没有太多进球的无聊比赛。但如果他们把球权交给塞尔塔，东道主会在比赛中变得越来越大，更有信心，凭借他们前面的实力，会找到进球和赢得比赛的方法。