In my opinion Portimonense have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Rio Ave in previous season luckily avoided relegation, but they looking very poor once again in current campaign. Hosts of today's match failed to win in 7 of 9 matches so far. They looked very poor at both ends of the pitch. No consistency and stability at the back - they conceded already 17 goals in 9 matches, it's extremely bad ratio. On the other hand they are not creative in attack. They scored 13 goals - on the paper is good achievement, but they had huge luck. According to the expected goals scored model they should score only 5.4 goals (!!!). Enormous difference at this stage of the season.

Manager Paulo Sergio helped Portimonense to avoid relegation and now team under his wing going in very good direction. Portimonense is hard nut to crack at the back - 9 goals conceded in 9 matches (4 on away against Sporting so 5 goals in 8 other matches..). They are also dangerous in offense, without any shadow of doubt much more than Rio Ave. Guests of today's match so far scored 8 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 11.1 goals. Portimonense lost 4 matches in current season, but only against Sporting on away they had lower expected goals scored number than opposition. In last round they lost 0:2 at home against title defender Porto, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Portimonense 1.41, for Porto 1.08.

If guests will continue to play on their level from previous matches, they have all required tools to make at least one point today.

在我看来，波尔蒂芒有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

上个赛季里奥阿维幸运的保级，但本赛季他们又一次看起来很糟糕。主队在迄今为止的9场比赛中有7场未能获胜。他们在球场的两端看起来都很糟糕。后防线没有一致性和稳定性——他们在 9 场比赛中已经丢了 17 个球，这是一个非常糟糕的比例。另一方面，他们在进攻方面没有创造力。他们打进了 13 个进球——从纸面上看是不错的成绩，但他们运气不错。根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进 5.4 个球（！！！）。在本赛季的这个阶段存在巨大差异。

教练保罗塞尔吉奥帮助波尔蒂莫嫩塞避免降级，现在他的球队正在朝着非常好的方向前进。波蒂莫内塞在后防线上很难攻破 - 9 场比赛丢了 9 球（客场对阵葡萄牙体育时丢了 4 球，其他 8 场比赛丢了 5 球……）。他们的进攻方面很有威胁，毫无疑问，比里奥阿维多得多。今天比赛的客队到目前为止打进了8球，但按照预期进球模型，他们应该打进11.1球。波蒂莫内塞本赛季输掉了4场比赛，但仅在客场对阵葡萄牙体育的比赛中，他们的预期进球数低于对手。上轮主场0:2负于卫冕冠军波尔图，但这根本不是应得的结果：波尔蒂莫内塞的预期进球数为1.41，波尔图的预期进球数为1.08。

如果客队继续发挥他们的水平，那么他们今天拥有能力至少获得一分。