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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Numbers are not lying, big confidence!

2022-10-24

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期二2022-10-25 03:00

解读理由

I cannot imagine any other result here than home win. For me West Ham is clear favorite of this game and should be able to make comfortable win at the end of the day.

Last match between both teams at this stadium in Premier League finished with West Ham 4:0 win. I expect similar scenario today.

Obviously, Bournemouth had good run of matches without a loss, but that was stopped in last round when they lost 0:1 at home against Southampton. For sure team not coming here full of confidence. I don't trust Bournemouth defensive formation at all - they conceded at least one goal in last 15 away Premier League matches in a row. They also looks really bad in offense, Bournemouth is the worst team in whole league in 4 departments: ball possession, shots, touches in opponents box and expected goals scored..

Hammers form raised a lot in last weeks as they won 4 of last 6 matches in all competitions. In last round they lost 0:1 on away against Liverpool, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Liverpool 1.73, for West Ham 1.84. West Ham looks really good in offense at the moment - in last 3 league matches they scored 4 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 6.56 (best result in whole league in that period). They should be able to make a lot of damages for Bournemouth defensive formation.

All in all, I see convincing win for hosts today.


除了主队胜利,我无法想象这里有任何其他结果。对我来说,西汉姆显然是这场比赛的热门,应该能够在一天结束时轻松取胜。

两队上一场在此球场交手的英超联赛以西汉姆联4:0完胜。我预计今天会出现类似的情况。

很明显,伯恩茅斯连续几场比赛都没有输球,但上轮主场0:1不敌南安普顿,势头就此戛然而止。当然,球队不会满怀信心地来到这里。我根本不相信伯恩茅斯的防守能力——他们在过去的 15 场英超客场比赛中至少丢了一个球。他们的进攻看起来也很糟糕,伯恩茅斯是全联盟4个部门中最差的球队:控球、射门、对手禁区的触球和预期进球。

在过去的几周里,西汉姆联队的状态提高了很多,因为他们在所有比赛的最后 6 场比赛中赢了 4 场。上轮他们客场0:1输给利物浦,但这根本不是应得的结果:利物浦的预期进球数为 1.73,西汉姆联的预期进球数为 1.84。西汉姆目前在进攻端看起来确实不错——在过去的 3 场联赛中,他们打进了 4 球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进 6.56 分(当时整个联赛的最好成绩)。他们应该能够对伯恩茅斯的防线造成很大的冲击。

总而言之,我预测西汉姆联可以取得令人信服的胜利。


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