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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Who will win Midlands derby today? 狼队vs莱切斯特

2022-10-23

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期日2022-10-23 21:00

客队莱切斯特LOGO

莱切斯特

解读理由

In my opinion Leicester have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Leicester didn't lost in 5 of last 6 matches against Wolves. They lost 1:2 against them in last match between both teams at this stadium, but that wasn't fully deserved result: expected goals scored for Leicester 1.72, for Wolves 1.30.

Wolves currently are not in good moment - they are still without new permanent manager. They lost 4 of last 5 matches, they were able to win only against the worst team in whole league - Nottingham, but even in that game (1:0) Wolves not played good as they had lower expected goals scored number than opponents (1.32 vs 1.49) and scored goal from penalty kick. Creativity - this is their the biggest problem. So far Wolves scored only 5 goals in 11 matches and this is the worst result in Premier League. In last round they recorded painful loss on away against Crystal Palace, they had a lead till HT, but still failed to make even one point. For sure confidence is not on the highest possible level.

On the other hand Leicester raised their form after horrible start of the season. They didn't lost in 3 of last 4 matches. They made big improvement at the back - 3 clean sheets in last 4 matches so once again I see big problems for Wolves with goalscoring. Leicester have good quality upfront - they failed to score only in 2 of 11 matches so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 1.76 goals together in those matches. Team coming for this game full of confidence after 2:0 win at home against Leeds.

Momentum is on Leicester side and they have all required tools to make at least one point today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,莱斯特城有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

莱斯特城在最近6场对阵狼队的比赛中有5场没有输球。在上一场两队在这个球场的比赛中,他们以1:2的比分输给了他们,但这并不是完全值得的结果:莱斯特城的预期进球数为1.72,狼队为1.30。

狼目前状态不佳,他们还没有新的主教练。他们在过去的5场比赛中输了4场,他们只赢了整个联赛中最差的球队——诺丁汉,但即使在那场比赛中(1:0),狼队也踢得不好,因为他们的预期进球数比对手低(1.32比1.49),而且点球破门。创造力——这是他们最大的问题。到目前为止,狼队在11场比赛中只进了5球,这是英超联赛中最差的成绩。上轮他们客场惨败水晶宫,他们一直领先,但仍然没有取得一分。当然,信心还没有达到可能的最高水平。

另一方面,莱斯特城在经历了糟糕的赛季开局后提高了他们的状态。他们在最近的4场比赛中有3场没有输。他们在后场取得了很大的进步——在过去的4场比赛中有3场没有失球,所以我再次看到了狼在进球方面的大问题。莱斯特城的前场比赛质量很好——到目前为止,他们在11场比赛中只有2场没有进球,但根据预期进球数模型,他们在这些比赛中总共应该进1.76球。在主场2:0战胜利兹联后,球队满怀信心地来到了这里。

莱斯特城的势头很好,他们拥有所有必要的工具来至少在今天取得一分。

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