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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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How many goals they will score today? 利兹联vs富勒姆

2022-10-23

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期日2022-10-23 21:00

解读理由

I believe Leeds have all required tools to make 3 points today. They have bigger chances than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Leeds have good mental advantage - they didn't lost any of last 4 matches against Fulham. They also didn't lost any of last 5 home matches against Fulham at Elland Road (two wins in last two).

Home advantage really should make big difference here. Atmosphere at Elland Road always is really amazing and crowd giving extra energy for the players in key moments. Leeds so far only once at home - 0:1 against leader of the table Arsenal, but that wasn't deserved result at all. Leeds played better than Arsenal and shouldn't lost: expected goals scored for Leeds 1.86, for Arsenal 0.55. After 5 home matches they have very healthy 6:3 goals balance. Leeds is creative team and really playing better than their results shows - in last 7 matches only once they had expected goals scored number below 1.00 (against Aston Villa when they received red card..).

On the other hand Fulham have one of the worst defensive formation in whole league - only 3 teams conceded less goals so far. In last 5 consecutive away matches in all competitions Fulham conceded more than one goal so I really see big problems for them to stop Leeds offensive stars today. Fulham lost 3 of 5 away matches so far - they won only against Nottingham (last position in table), but even in that game they conceded 2 goals.

Aggressive, offensive game style should make a lot of troubles for guests today. Leeds is underrated in this match up, I see decent value on home side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我相信利兹联拥有所有需要的工具来拿下今天的3分。他们的胜算比庄家给我们的赔率要大。

利兹联有很好的心理优势——他们在最近4场对阵富勒姆的比赛中没有输过一场。他们最近在埃兰路主场对阵富勒姆的5场比赛一场未输(最近两场两胜)。

主场优势会有很大的影响。埃兰路的气氛总是令人惊叹,在关键时刻,观众给了球员额外的能量。利兹联到目前为止只在主场0:1击败积分榜第一的阿森纳,但这根本不是一个值得的结果。利兹比阿森纳踢得好,不应该输:利兹的预期进球数为1.86,阿森纳为0.55。在5场主场比赛之后,他们取得了6:3的进球平衡。利兹联是一支有创造力的球队,确实比他们的成绩表现得更好——在过去的7场比赛中,他们只有一次预期进球数低于1.00(对阵阿斯顿维拉时,他们得到了红牌)。

另一方面,富勒姆的防守阵型在整个联赛中是最差的——到目前为止只有3支球队丢球少。在最近5场连续的客场比赛中,富勒姆丢球超过1球,所以我认为他们今天要想阻止利兹联的进攻明星,确实有很大的问题。到目前为止,富勒姆在5场客场比赛中输了3场——他们只赢了诺丁汉(排名最后),但即使在那场比赛中他们也丢了2球。

侵略性,进攻性的游戏风格应该会给今天的客人带来很多麻烦。利兹联在这场比赛中被低估了,我在主场看到了不错的价值。

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