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[80% La Liga] Very confident pick!

2022-10-23

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期一2022-10-24 03:00

解读理由

Round 11 of La Liga is going to end with a game between Barcelona and Bilbao Athletic. Barcelona is the 2nd best team so far in the tournament with 25 points and trailing only Real Madrid but Athletic is in 6th position with 18 points. The Spanish giant has 4 wins and 1 draw at home this season but Athletic on the road has 2 wins and 2 draws.

Barcelona played very well against Villarreal in the last game as they scored 3 goals in a time span of 8 minutes that secured the victory. Barca's manager Xavi was impressed with the strong reaction after the loss to Real Madrid and almost losing hopes to get to the next phase of the Champions League. Athletic has been playing well this season but the last 3 results have been poor - draws against Sevilla and Getafe, as well as a loss to Atletico. Bilbao's manager Ernesto Valverde has lost 15 times to Barcelona which is his personal worst result.

Having not lost at home to Athletic Bilbao since November 2001, Barcelona is likely to feel confident of gaining further momentum this weekend. The Catalans are yet to concede a league goal at Spotify Nou Camp this campaign and after Thursday’s win over Villarreal, the hosts have the opportunity to win five consecutive top-flight home games "to nil" for the first time since August 1997.

xG stats are in a little bit of favor of Barcelona. The Catalans are expected to score 2.74 goals (league-best) while Athletic on the road is expected to score 2.29 goals (2nd best). On the defensive side, Barcelona is expected to allow 0.90 goals (league-best) but Bilbao has the best xG allowed rating on the road with 1.19. At the same time, it has to be mentioned that Athletic's away victories have been against 2 of the worst La Liga teams - Cadiz and Elche.

The Catalan outfit did not suffer any fresh issues against Villarreal on Thursday, but there are expected to be a couple of changes from that match, with Ousmane Dembele and Eric Garcia potentially coming into the side. As for Athletic, Ander Capa and Jon Morcillo remain on the sidelines through injury, but the Basque outfit has no fresh fitness concerns heading into this clash.

Barcelona is the favorite here, of course. If the game would be played in Bilbao, there could be a potential upset but in Barcelona, there is no chance. The Catalan team is way better and the best scorer in the league Robert Lewandowski is going to put some goals in his bag. Barcelona should bring all focus to La Liga as the title race with Real Madrid is going to be very interesting.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

西甲第11轮比赛将以巴萨和毕尔巴鄂竞技的比赛结束。巴塞罗那以25分排名第二,仅次于皇马,而竞技则以18分排名第六。西班牙豪门本赛季在主场取得了4胜1平的战绩,但在客场的竞技取得了2胜2平的战绩。

巴萨在上一场对阵比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中发挥出色,他们在8分钟内打进3球,确保了胜利。巴萨主帅哈维对输给皇马后的强烈反应印象深刻,他几乎失去了进入欧冠下一阶段的希望。竞技本赛季踢得很好,但最近3场比赛的结果很糟糕——战平塞维利亚和赫塔菲,以及输给马竞。毕尔巴鄂的主教练埃内斯托·巴尔韦德已经15次输给巴萨,这是他个人最糟糕的成绩。

自从2001年11月以来,巴塞罗那就没有在主场输给毕尔巴鄂竞技,他们很有信心在本周末取得更大的进展。加泰罗尼亚人本赛季还没有在诺坎普球场丢过一球,在周四战胜比利亚雷亚尔之后,主队有机会自1997年8月以来首次在顶级联赛主场“零比五”连胜。

xG的数据对巴塞罗那有一点支持。加泰罗尼亚人有望进2.74球(联赛第一),而客场的竞技有望进2.29球(联赛第二)。在防守方面,巴萨的失球率预计为0.90球(联赛最高),但毕尔巴鄂的客场失球率最高,为1.19球。同时,必须提到的是,竞技的客场胜利是面对两支西甲最差的球队——加的斯和埃尔切。

加泰罗尼亚球队在周四与比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中没有出现任何新的问题,但预计在那场比赛中会有一些变化,登贝莱和埃里克·加西亚可能会出现在阵容中。至于竞技队,卡帕和莫西略仍因伤缺阵,但这支巴斯克球队在这场比赛中没有新的伤病问题。

巴塞罗那当然是这里最受欢迎的。如果比赛在毕尔巴鄂进行,可能会出现意外,但在巴塞罗那,就不可能了。加泰罗尼亚的球队更好,联赛最好的射手罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基将会把一些进球放进他的袋子里。巴萨应该把所有的注意力都放在西甲,因为与皇马的冠军争夺将会非常有趣。

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