DARMSTADT - KIEL

Darmstadt is the leader and in great form, but I believe their winning run could end today. They won almost all games (7 of 8) by minimum difference of just one goal, and with lot of luck in some of them: goals in the last minutes, red cards to opponents, penalties missed by their rivals... But this pick is based mainly in the guests.

These odds don't do Kiel justice. They had their clearly best performance of the season last week against Heidenheim (3:1). Heidenheim, who have promotion ambitions, were clearly inferior and created almost nothing offensively. Kiel had a great balance between their defence and offence. The reward was a richly deserved home win. Also the away game before (3:2 win at Nurnberg) was convincing, and in the two games before (2:2 vs Rostock, 4:2-defeat at Bielefeld), they had been the clearly better side and had been very unlucky not to win.

So Kiel, who have a top third squad anyway, are in great shape and ready to attack the promotion ranks. Their offensive has always been very good, particularly with Skrzybski, who is on fire (1st in the top goal scorer ranking since last weekend), and guys like Wriedt or Reese, who embody highest BL2 standards. What has always pulled them down a bit has been their weak defending, but their defence was great last week, and their main central back Wahl has found back his form after several months of illness.

To sum up, Kiel are in great form and are a top 6 or top 7 side in this league anyway. Opponent Darmstadt is the best team in the league behind Hamburg, but they have the disadvantage of playing DFB Pokal against Gladbach tonight (who knows, maybe they will even have to go for 120 mins). With only two days break until Friday, they could be in a significant disadvantage against Kiel.

In my opinion, Kiel is way too strong to be such clear underdogs on Friday. They are in great form and fully rested, whereas Darmstadt play in DFB Pokal three days before. Thus odds on Kiel are surely too high.

GRANADA - ZARAGOZA

We go again with Granada.

Granada, who has one of the best squads of the league (due to the big budget they have in the year after relegation) is performing below their possibilities, because they should be fighting for the 1st position and are 8th in the table.

They managed to win just one of the last 5 games, but I see this game at home like a great chance for them to get back to winning ways. Especially because it is at home where they are showing their best level and results - outplayed all rivals there, won 4 of 5 games (1 draw), scored 12 goals and conceded just one. Are the best home team of the league in all aspects.

Granada can’t afford to be in this position in the league with the squad they have. They have several players from the previous years in 1st division, plus the transfers of international players like Callejon. Furthermore, they have the topscorer of the league - Uzuni (8 goals).

They are not playing bad, but are being irregular and not able to dominate the games away as they are doing at home. So I believe that today will make a good performance outplaying their rival, as always.

On the other hand, Zaragoza is a middle table team. This season they are doing better than previous ones, but they don't have promotion ambitions. They scored just 7 goals in 11 games played so far, and with just 3 victories are 14th on the table, a normal position for them.

The coach is thinking of making several changes in the eleven starting, which is a clear signal that they are still trying to find their best lineup and system.

Difference between both teams is huge, hosts have much more quality and higher ambitions here. Furthermore, Granada is a very strong home team and Zaragoza a very weak traveller (3 defeats in last 4 games). I see this match like a perfect opportunity for a beast in this league like Granada to achieve the three points and recover some positions in the table, much needed if they want to fight for their target of the top2 (direct promotion)

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

达姆施塔特是领头羊，状态也很好，但我相信他们的连胜可能会在今天结束。他们几乎赢得了所有的比赛(8场比赛中的7场)，他们的最小差距只有1球，而且在其中一些比赛中，他们运气很好:最后几分钟的进球、对手得到的红牌、对手罚丢的点球……但这个选择主要是基于客队。

这些几率对基尔来说并不公平。他们在上周对阵海登海姆(3:1)的比赛中打出了本赛季最好的表现。海登海姆有晋升的野心，但明显不如对手，几乎没有创造任何进攻机会。基尔在他们的防守和进攻之间取得了很好的平衡。奖赏是一场当之无愧的主场胜利。之前的客场比赛(3:2战胜纽伦堡)也很有说服力，而在之前的两场比赛(2:2战胜罗斯托克，4:2输给比勒费尔德)中，他们显然是更强的那支球队，很不幸没有赢球。

所以基尔，无论如何他们都有一个排名第三的阵容，他们的状态很好，已经准备好进攻升级行列。他们的进攻一直都很好，尤其是斯克日布斯基，他状态火热(从上周末开始排名射手榜第一)，还有像赖特和里斯这样的家伙，他们体现了BL2的最高标准。一直拖累他们的是他们薄弱的防守，但他们上周的防守很棒，他们的主要中卫沃尔在病了几个月后已经恢复了状态。

总而言之，基尔状态很好，无论如何都是联赛前6或前7的球队。对手达姆施塔特是联赛中仅次于汉堡的最好的球队，但他们有一个劣势，今晚他们将在波卡尔对阵格拉德巴赫(谁知道呢，也许他们甚至要打120分钟)。由于距离周五只有两天的休息时间，他们可能在与基尔的比赛中处于明显的劣势。

在我看来，基尔太强大了，不可能在周五如此明显地处于劣势。他们状态良好，休息充分，而达姆施塔特在三天前在波卡尔踢了一场比赛。因此，基尔获胜的几率肯定太高了。

格拉纳达-萨拉戈萨

我们再来看格拉纳达。

格拉纳达是联赛中最好的球队之一(因为他们在降级后的一年有很大的预算)，但他们的表现低于他们的可能性，因为他们应该为第1的位置而战，而他们在积分榜上排名第8。

他们在过去的5场比赛中只赢了一场，但我认为这场主场比赛是他们重拾胜利的好机会。尤其是在主场，他们展现了自己最好的水平和成绩——在主场击败了所有对手，5战4胜(1平)，进12球失1球。在各方面都是联赛中最好的主队。

格拉纳达不能以他们现有的阵容在联赛中处于这样的位置。他们有几名前几年在甲级联赛效力的球员，加上像卡列洪这样的国际球员的转会。此外，他们还有联赛最佳射手乌祖尼(8球)。

他们踢得不差，但表现不规律，不能像在主场那样在客场主宰比赛。所以我相信今天他们会像往常一样表现出色，击败对手。

另一方面，萨拉戈萨是一支中游球队。本赛季他们比前几个赛季做得更好，但他们没有晋升的野心。到目前为止，他们在11场比赛中只打进7球，仅取得3场胜利，排在积分榜第14位，这对他们来说很正常。

教练正在考虑对11人首发阵容做一些改变，这是一个明显的信号，他们仍在努力找到他们最好的阵容和体系。

两队之间的差距是巨大的，东道主有更高的质量和更高的抱负。此外，格拉纳达是一支非常强大的主队，萨拉戈萨是一支非常弱的客场球队(最近4场3负)。我认为这场比赛对格拉纳达这样的联赛猛兽来说是一个完美的机会，他们可以拿到三分，恢复一些积分榜上的位置，如果他们想要为前二的目标而战(直接升级)，这是非常必要的。