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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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What will happen at Anfield Road today? 英超利物浦VS西汉姆联

2022-10-19

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期四2022-10-20 02:30

解读理由

In my opinion West Ham have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +1.5 AH looks like best possible bet here.

West Ham didn't lost with more than one goal margin in 4 of last 5 matches against Liverpool. In previous season they lost on Anfield 1:0.

Obviously, Liverpool recorded huge win at the weekend against Manchester City, but I think market overreacting. Still is not good season for them and they are very vulnerable at the back. Liverpool conceded at least one goal in 10 of last 13 Premier League matches.

West Ham after poor start of the season finally found good form - they won 6 of last 8 matches in all competitions. They have really good, fast players to play counter-attacks and I believe today they will be able to produce many quality chances to score against unstable Liverpool defensive formation. In last 3 league matches West Ham scored 5 goals (60 shots in total!), but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 5.98 (the best result from whole league in last 3 rounds).

Pressure is on the hosts to back up this big win with City, but West Ham made big problems for them in past and I see same story today. Hammers should be able to score at least one goal and cover +1.5 AH.


在我看来,西汉姆联队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免一场惨败,看起来是最好的选择。

西汉姆联在过去5场对阵利物浦的比赛中有4场均以1球以下的劣势输球。在上个赛季,他们在安菲尔德 0:1 失利。

显然,利物浦在周末对阵曼城的比赛中取得了巨大的胜利,但我认为市场反应过度。对他们来说仍然不是一个好赛季,他们在后防线上非常脆弱。利物浦在过去13场英超比赛中有10场至少失球。

在本赛季开局不佳之后,西汉姆终于找到了不错的状态——他们在所有比赛中赢得了过去 8 场比赛中的 6 场。他们有非常优秀、快速的球员进行反击,我相信今天他们将能够创造很多高质量的机会,在利物浦不稳定的防守阵型中得分。在最近 3 场联赛中,西汉姆打进 5 球(总共 60 次射门!),但根据预期进球模型,他们应该打进 5.98。

主队面临着支持曼城这场大胜的压力,但西汉姆在过去给他们带来了很大的麻烦,我预测今天也是类似的情况。西汉姆联应该能够打进至少一球并赢下让分。

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