Przem头像
外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
  • 773

    方案

  • 1278

    粉丝

What will happen at Selhurst Park?

2022-10-18

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期三2022-10-19 03:15

解读理由

In my opinion Wolves have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams without any new absences before this game. Wolves central defender Collin (7 matches) back from suspension.

If You look on the bigger picture - Wolves have really solid record at Selhurst Park as they didn't lost in 9 of last 13 matches at this stadium.

Crystal Palace is solid team, but for me is extremely hard to trust them as favorite. Since Patrick Vieira came to the club, 40% of their Premier League matches finished with the draw. In last round they had draw 0:0 on away against Leicester, that was poor performance from Eagles - their goalkeeper Vicente Guaita received Man of the match award. Crystal Palace in current season failed to win in 7 of 9 league matches. Even at home they don't have big stability at the back as they conceded at least one goal in all 5 home league matches so far. In addition to that Crystal Palace failed to win in 8 of last 9 home league matches in the midweek.

Wolves in current season plays better than their results really shows. They scored only 4 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 10 (Crystal Palace should score 9). It's big difference at this stage of the season. New boss on Wolves bench Steve Davies in last round recorded his first win, against Nottingham at home. For sure morale in team is good and they gained some confidence. I believe they have all required tools to go with momentum today.

All in all, odds on hosts are too low, I see good value on away side here.


在我看来,狼队有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

两队本场比赛前均无新缺席。狼队中卫科林(7场比赛)停赛复出。

如果放眼大局——狼队在塞尔赫斯特公园的战绩非常好,因为他们在这个体育场的最后 13 场比赛中有 9 场没有输球。

水晶宫是一支稳固的球队,但对我来说很难相信他们是最爱。自从帕特里克·维埃拉来到俱乐部以来,他们 40% 的英超比赛都是以平局结束的。上轮客场0:0战平莱斯特城,他们表现不佳——门将维森特·瓜伊塔获得了最佳球员奖。本赛季水晶宫9场联赛有7场未能取胜。即使在主场,他们的后防线也没有很大的稳定性,因为他们在迄今为止的所有5个主场联赛中都至少丢了一个球。此外,水晶宫在过去9场主场联赛中有8场未能取胜。

本赛季狼队的表现比他们的实际表现要好。他们只进了4个球,但按照预期进球模型应该进10个(水晶宫应该进9个)。在本赛季的这个阶段有很大的不同。上轮狼队替补席上的新老板史蒂夫戴维斯在主场对阵诺丁汉时取得了他的第一场胜利。当然,团队的士气很好,他们获得了一些信心。我相信他们可以保持这样的势头。

总而言之,主队的让步太低了,预测狼队不败。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。