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Great Premier League pick!

2022-10-16

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期日2022-10-16 21:00

解读理由

The best English Premier League team London Arsenal is going to visit Leeds United on Sunday. The home team right now is struggling as they haven't won since 21st August while Arsenal has won the last 6 games if we take into account Premier League and Europa League. It should be a fun game because Leeds has conceded only 2 goals in front of their fans but Arsenal has a league-best 9 goals on the road.

In 4 home games this season (2 wins and 2 draws), Leeds United have scored only 6 times and the xG stat at home is only 13th best - 1.49. At the same time, Arsenal is 5th best on the road for expected goals with 1.79. Although Leeds United has shown league-best defense, the xG stat for allowed goals at home is 7th worst - 1.68. It's not like Arsenal concedes much on the road (only 3 times) and the xG rating is 2nd best with 1.11.

A good showcase at home could cheer Leeds fans up but head-to-head history isn't the best for them. In 2003 Leeds United beat Arsenal but since then London team has won 10 games and 2 ended with a draw. Last week's win against Liverpool will certainly boost Arsenal's confidence and the team will welcome back Gabriel Jesus who missed the Europa League because of fatigue reasons.

Critics can no longer boldly say that Arsenal has not faced any real tests to their Premier League supremacy in 2022-23. With Manchester City not in action until their trip to Anfield on Sunday, Arsenal could temporarily go four points clear at the top with victory on the road. The Gunners have looked sharp this season, and given their dominance in recent games against Leeds, they should take out a narrow win.


英超联赛最好的球队伦敦阿森纳将于周日访问利兹联。主队现在正在苦苦挣扎,因为他们自 8 月 21 日以来没有赢过,而如果我们考虑到英超联赛和欧罗巴联赛,阿森纳已经赢得了最近 6 场比赛。这应该是一场有趣的比赛,因为利兹联在球迷面前只丢了 2 个球,但阿森纳在客场打进了联盟最好的 9 个球。

本赛季4场主场比赛(2胜2平),利兹联只打进6球,主场xG数据仅排在第13位——1.49。与此同时,阿森纳的预期进球数为 1.79,排名第五。尽管利兹联队的防守是联盟最好的,但主场允许进球的 xG 数据却是倒数第 7 - 1.68。这不像阿森纳在客场让步太多(仅 3 次),预期进球评分以 1.11 排名第二。

在主场的精彩展示可以让利兹联球迷振作起来,但正面交锋的历史对他们来说并不是最好的。 2003年利兹联击败阿森纳,但此后伦敦球队已经赢了10场比赛,其中2场以平局收场。上周对利物浦的胜利肯定会增强阿森纳的信心,球队将欢迎因疲劳原因错过欧联杯的加布里埃尔·热苏斯回归。

批评者不能再大胆地说阿森纳在 2022-23 赛季的英超霸主地位没有面临任何真正的考验。由于曼城在周日前往安菲尔德之前没有采取行动,阿森纳可以暂时领先四分,并在客场取得胜利。枪手本赛季看起来很犀利,鉴于他们在最近对阵利兹的比赛中占据主导地位,他们应该会以微弱优势获胜。

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