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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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7th straight WINNER?

2022-10-15

比赛分析

主队巴里LOGO

巴里

意乙

已完赛

星期六2022-10-15 22:15

客队阿斯科利LOGO

阿斯科利

解读理由

Bari VS Ascoli

Bari welcome Ascoli for this Italian Serie B round 9 battle at Stadio San Nicola late Saturday evening Beijing time. This league, whilst much worse than Serie A, is still decent level by European standards. It is on average quite a low-scoring league but here I expect to see more than one or two goals. The main rationale behind this analysis is Bari’s awesome scoring potential! They pass the ball in a creative way and are able to break almost any defense at the moment. Indeed, they have netted the ball 18 times so far but have allowed also allowed nine goals which is more than they should have conceded in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA). They were promoted from Serie C for this season and have really started the season in an impressive way and we must take advantage of the under-valuation on the betting market! I expect the bookies to soon realize how good they really are..Bari currently occupy the second place in the standings with a very good 18 points to their account and have not suffered a single defeat so far! They have taken five wins and three times their game has been a draw.

In their most recent match Bari faced Venezia away from home and took a great 2-1 win as clear underdogs according to the bookies. They were priced around 3.50 to win but even recorded more shots on goal and scoring attempts than Venezia who even played in Serie A last season. The host did record over 60% ball possession though. Moreover, before this they crushed Brescia, a big team in Serie B – currently in 4th place 6-2 in front of very enthusiastic home fans! What a performance! The atmosphere within and around the club is very positive at the moment. Ascoli, on the other hand have failed to impress me on most of their matches and are in bad form. They have not won any of their latest five games losing three of these. They are currently in 13 th place with just nine points. Defensively they are not much worse than Bari but offensively the gap is big in the hosts’ favor. Ascoli were once again lame in their most recent match and lost to Modena as favorites at home. They only recorded three shots on goal and the visitors even recorded more passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Bari have a 57% chance to win this one.


北京时间周六晚间,巴里欢迎阿斯科利参加在圣尼古拉球场举行的意大利乙级联赛第 9 轮比赛。这个联赛虽然比意甲差很多,但按照欧洲标准来说仍然是不错的水平。平均而言,这是一个得分很低的联赛,但我希望在这里能看到不止一两个进球。这种分析背后的主要理由是巴里令人敬畏的得分潜力!他们以一种创造性的方式传球,并且能够打破目前几乎所有的防守。事实上,到目前为止,他们已经打进了 18 次球,但也丢了 9 个球,这比他们应该承认的预期进球数(xGA)要多。他们在本赛季从意丙升级,并以令人印象深刻的方式开始了本赛季,我们必须利用投注市场的低估!我认为公司很快就会意识到他们的实力。巴里目前以非常好的 18 分位居积分榜第二位,并且到现在还没有输过一次!他们取得了五场胜利,三场比赛是平局。

根据机构的说法,在他们最近的一场比赛中,巴里在客场对阵威尼斯队,并以 2-1 的比分取得了明显的劣势。他们的获胜价格约为 3.50,但甚至比上赛季在意甲踢球的威尼斯队的射门次数和得分尝试次数还要多。不过,东道主确实记录了超过 60% 的控球率。此外,在此之前,他们在非常热情的主场球迷面前以 6-2 击败了意乙大球队布雷西亚,目前排在第 4 位!多么好的表演!目前俱乐部内部和周围的气氛非常积极。另一方面,阿斯科利在他们的大部分比赛中都未能给我留下深刻印象,而且状态不佳。他们在最近的五场比赛中没有赢过任何一场,输掉了其中的三场。他们目前仅以 9 分排名第 13 位。在防守端,他们并不比巴里差多少,但在进攻端,他们的差距很大,有利于东道主。阿斯科利在最近的比赛中再次跛脚,在主场输给了摩德纳,成为夺冠热门。他们只记录了3次射门,而客队甚至记录了更多的传球、完成的传球、进攻和危险的进攻。巴里有 57% 的机会赢得这场比赛。

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