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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The HOT streak continues? 英超 热刺VS埃弗顿

2022-10-15

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期日2022-10-16 00:30

解读理由

Tottenham VS Everton


Tottenham welcome Everton for this English Premier League round 11 clash at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London Sunday night Beijing time. This is the best league in the world but I do not expect this match to be the most entertaining game to watch.. However, it is a lucrative match to bet on and extend the hot winning streak! It is true that Tottenham are not the best team in this league, Manchester City are – neither are Everton among the worst teams. However, we must remember that differences in pure class are massive in the Premier League between the top teams and even the middle-of-the table clubs – not to mention teams outside the top 10. Indeed, this is the situation in this match. I rated Tottenham higher than most football analysts, fans and the betting market in me preseason analysis and have, in fact, slightly raised their power rating since the start of the season. However, I still see them having potential for improvement and should be respected more by the bookies. I rate them as the third-best team in my power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class.

Third is also Tottenham’s position in the standings at the moment. They have grabbed 20 points and have a good goal difference of 20:10 and have suffered just one defeat in the Premier League so far. At home they have been on fire in front of loud fans winning six matches in row at their stadium – three of the six wins have come at least by a two goals’ margin. Tottenham are massive favorites here and the -1.5 goals handicap is surely a good option as well for the fans who like to go for bigger odds! Tottenham took a morale-boosting win on Wednesday in the Champions League 3-2 against a German team, Eintracht Frankfurt, last season’s UEFA Europa League finalists. The Germans even beat the mighty Barcelona last season in this competition! It was, however, not the best performance from the hosts, but they are such a good team that they are capable of taking wins even when they play say at 80% of their best level. Players to watch include for example English national team forward Harry Kane, as he has scored in seven of his last ten competitive head-to-head matches. South Korean superstar Son has also been great again this season and will surely make life miserable for Everton here. Before this they took an excellent win against a good team, Brighton, 1-0 away from home despite being forced to defend quite a lot but did so in an organized way. Indeed, Brighton recorded 59% ball possession, but only managed to create 0.85 in expected goals (xG). Tottenham’s xG was 0.82. Brighton currently occupy the 7th place and played well last season too and are a very tough team to beat at their stadium for any team. Before this they were the slightly better team in Frankfurt despite the goalless draw. Furthermore, on the 1st of this month they easily could have taken a point but lost to on-fire Arsenal 1-3 away from home. Arsenal were the better team but not by a large margin and created only a little more in expected goals – 2.33 -1.91. Furthermore, I rate Tottenham’s Italian Antonio Conte as a word-class manager! Especially tactically he is awesome and has also improved the hosts’ players fitness level for this season. His skills are from another planet compared to Everton’s inexperienced Frank Lampard!

Everton had a horrible last season and almost relegated to the Championship! I rated them lower football analysts, fans and the betting market in my preseason analysis and despite their decent start to the season I have not significantly raised their power rating. It is 16th at the moment but they currently occupy the 12th place in the standings. They have been lucky in terms of expected points and will probably drop down in the league table as the season progress. They play very simple, one might even say “anti-football” mainly because they do not have skilled enough players to choose a more modern, more sophisticated style of play. Overall they fail to impress me on the pitch. They were poor – especially offensively against still a bit disappointing Manchester United on their most recent match. ManU traveled back home all three points with a 2-1 win and Everton only recorded 0.29 in expected goals. ManU’s number was 1.89. I wasn’t too impressed by their recent narrow wins over struggling Southampton or West Ham either. Tottenham are missing Emerson Royal due to red card and Tanganga (knock). At the time of writing this Kulusevski’s and Richarlison’s situation is unclear. Everton will have to manage without injured Godfrey, Patterson, Townsend as well as Gordon (yellow cards). Holgate’s and Mina’s situation is questionable.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周日晚上,托特纳姆热刺在伦敦托特纳姆热刺球场迎战埃弗顿,进行英超第11轮比赛。这是世界上最好的联赛,但我不期望这场比赛是最有趣的比赛。然而,这是一场利润丰厚的比赛下注,延长热连胜!的确,热刺不是联赛中最好的球队,曼城也是,埃弗顿也不是最差的球队。然而,我们必须记住,英超顶级球队和中游俱乐部之间的纯粹阶级差异是巨大的——更不用说前十之外的球队了。的确,这就是这场比赛的情况。在我的季前赛分析中,我对热刺的评价比大多数足球分析师、球迷和博彩市场都要高,事实上,自赛季开始以来,热刺的实力评价略有提高。然而,我仍然认为他们有改进的潜力,应该得到更多的庄家的尊重。在我的实力评估中,我把他们列为第三强的球队,这说明了两支球队纯粹的级别。

第三是热刺目前的积分榜位置。他们已经拿到了20分,净胜球达到20:10,而且到目前为止在英超联赛中只输过一场。在主场,他们在喧闹的球迷面前激情四射,在他们的球场连续赢得了6场比赛,其中3场至少领先2球。热刺是这里最大的热门,-1.5球的障碍当然是一个很好的选择,以及球迷喜欢去更大的赔率!周三,托特纳姆热刺在欧冠联赛中以3比2的比分击败了上赛季欧联杯决赛的德国球队法兰克福队,鼓舞了球队士气。德国人甚至在上赛季的比赛中击败了强大的巴塞罗那!然而,这不是东道主最好的表现,但他们是一支如此优秀的球队,即使他们打出了他们最好水平的80%,他们也有能力取得胜利。值得关注的球员包括英格兰国家队前锋哈里·凯恩,因为他在最近10场面对面的比赛中有7场进球。孙兴慜本赛季也再次表现出色,肯定会让埃弗顿队的日子不好过。在此之前,他们在客场1-0击败了一支强队布莱顿,尽管他们被迫进行了大量防守,但还是有条不紊地取得了胜利。事实上,布莱顿有59%的控球率,但只创造了0.85的预期进球(xG)。热刺的xG为0.82。布莱顿目前排名第7,上赛季也踢得很好,对于任何球队来说,在他们的球场都是一支很难击败的球队。在此之前,他们在法兰克福是稍好一些的球队,尽管是一场零比零的平局。此外,在本月1日的比赛中,他们本可以轻松拿到一分,但在客场1-3不敌阿森纳。阿森纳是更好的球队,但差距不是很大,创造的预期进球数只比对手多一点——2.33 -1.91。此外,我认为热刺的意大利人安东尼奥·孔蒂是一个世界级的教练!特别是在战术上,他是了不起的,也提高了东道主球员本赛季的健康水平。与埃弗顿缺乏经验的兰帕德相比,他的技术简直是来自另一个星球!

埃弗顿上个赛季表现糟糕,差点降级到英冠!在我的季前赛分析中,我对他们的足球分析师、球迷和博彩市场评价较低,尽管他们本赛季开局不错,但我并没有显著提高他们的权力评级。目前排名第16位,但他们目前在积分榜上占据第12位。他们在预期积分方面很幸运,随着赛季的进展,他们可能会在积分榜上下降。他们踢得非常简单,有人甚至会说“反足球”,主要是因为他们没有足够熟练的球员来选择更现代、更复杂的比赛风格。总的来说,他们在球场上没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们表现得很差,尤其是在最近的一场比赛中,他们对曼联的进攻还是有些失望。马努带着2-1的胜利拿到三分,埃弗顿的预期进球数只有0.29个。ManU的得分是1.89。我对他们最近险胜苦苦挣扎的南安普顿和西汉姆也没有太大印象。热刺的埃默森·罗亚尔因为红牌和唐甘加(撞击)缺席。在撰写本文时,库鲁塞夫斯基和理查利森的情况尚不清楚。埃弗顿将不得不在没有受伤的戈弗雷、帕特森、汤森以及戈登(黄牌)的情况下迎战。霍尔盖特和米娜的情况值得怀疑。

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