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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The WINNING streak continues?

2022-10-13

比赛分析

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2022-10-14 03:00

解读理由

Real Sociedad VS Sheriff Tiraspol


Real Sociedad welcome Sheriff Tiraspol at Reale Arena in San Sebastian for this UEFA Europa League round 4 clash early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the second highest of UEFA’s club competitions - after Champions League - of course. The hosts are Spanish team – the visitors are the reigning Moldavian champions. I would not too excited by winning the Super Liga, which is of very low level by European standards! This means that Sheriff win it almost every year as their financial resources - and the quality of their squad, are from another planet compered to the rest of the teams. However, they do not get a chance to play enough high-quality, fast-paced matches against even decent, not to mention good opponents. This hurts them in Europe against teams of Real Sociedad’s caliber in Europe. We are talking about a team that defeated Manchester United away from home on the 8th of September after a fine performance. ManU were priced around 1.60 on the betting market to win but the match was a balanced. Sheriff cannot not match the hosts in any area of the game! The hosts have also started the season well in LaLiga, the second-best league in the world and occupy the 6th place with a respectable 16 points to their account. Especially the hosts’ offense is massively better than that of the visitors.. Sheriff can defend pretty well here but will surely take risk if and probably when Real Sociedad take the lead. The probable starting line ups illustrate the huge difference between the teams – at least for the fans who follow football more closely.. Real Sociedad possible starting lineup: Remiro; Rico, Elustondo, Le Normand, Sola; Illarramendi, Guevara; Kubo, Silva, Cho; Fernandez. Sheriff Tiraspol possible starting lineup:Koval; Kpozo, Kiki, Radeljic, Zouhouri; Akanbi, Badolo, Diop, Pernambuco; Vizeu, Ouattara. The difference in players’ total market value according to Transfermarkt.com is also massive. I have certainly not forgotten that Sheriff beat Real Madrid, the eventual champions in Champions League group stage last season in Madrid but we must realize that the team has changed a lot since then and are not at the same level now – not even close. Football fans, bettors, and the bookies seem to give too much emphasis on the totally undeserved upset win over Real Madrid..

The hosts top the group standings with nine points and would surely love to win it and qualify directly for the 1/8-finals leaving the likely second-placed team, ManU, to play in the 1/16-finals. I’m sure the hosts are 100% motivated here in front of very enthusiastic fans. The competition means a lot for Real Sociedad and let’s remember that the winner get a ticket to the Champions League next season.. The Spaniards were clearly the better team last week in Moldova winning 2-0 despite not being quite at their best and basically only did what was necessary to win. I would be very surprised if Sheriff were to take even a point here and against the hosts who are in fine form winning five games in a row and have looked solid in defense and creative in offense on the pitch. We would, however, need them to win by at least two goals’ difference to extend the hot winning streak. The probability for this is 59%. In terms of injuries Sheriff have a better situation but the hosts have a deep squad full of quality players so I would not be too worried! For example, long-term absentees Umar Sadiq and Mikel Oyarzabal will once again be unavailable, despite the latter resuming training this week after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament in spring. Sheriff, on the other hand, are free of injuries heading into this important tie, but will be without important midfielder Moussa Kyabou which really hurts their chances. Iyayi Atiemwen is also suspended having received up three yellow cards in three group stage matches so far, and will probably be replaced by Felipe Vizeu up front.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周五凌晨,皇家社会在圣塞巴斯蒂安的雷亚尔球场欢迎蒂拉斯波尔参加欧联杯第四轮的比赛。当然,这是欧足联俱乐部赛事中第二高的荣誉,仅次于欧冠。东道主是西班牙队,客队是摩尔达维亚卫冕冠军。如果能赢得超级联赛,我不会太兴奋,以欧洲标准来看,这是非常低的水平!这意味着Sheriff几乎每年都能赢得冠军,因为他们的财政资源和球队的质量都来自另一个星球的其他球队。然而,他们没有机会踢出足够高质量、快节奏的比赛,甚至连像样的对手,更不用说优秀的对手了。这让他们在欧洲与皇家社会水平的球队的比赛中受到了伤害。我们谈论的是一支在9月8日客场凭借出色表现击败曼联的球队。ManU在博彩市场上的获胜标价在1.60左右,但比赛是平衡的。警长不能在游戏的任何区域匹配主机!东道主本赛季在拉利加(世界第二好的联赛)的开局也不错,他们以16分占据了第6名的位置。特别是主队的进攻比客队的要好得多。郡长在这里防守很好,但如果皇家社会领先,他肯定会冒险。这些可能的首发阵容说明了两支球队之间的巨大差异——至少对密切关注足球的球迷来说是这样的。皇家社会可能的首发阵容:雷米罗;Rico, Elustondo, Le Normand, Sola;Illarramendi,格瓦拉;久保,席尔瓦,曹;费尔南德斯。蒂拉斯波尔警长可能的首发阵容:科瓦尔;Kpozo, Kiki, Radeljic, Zouhouri;阿坎比、巴多洛、迪奥普、伯南布科;Vizeu,瓦塔拉。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,球员总市值的差异也是巨大的。我当然没有忘记治安队上赛季在马德里击败了最终在欧冠小组赛中夺冠的皇马,但我们必须意识到这支球队在那之后发生了很大的变化,现在已经不是同一水平了——甚至还差得远。足球迷、投注者和博彩公司似乎过分强调了完全不应该的击败皇家马德里队的胜利。

东道主以9分的成绩排在小组第一,他们肯定很想夺冠,并直接获得1/8决赛的资格,这使得排名第二的ManU队只能参加1/16决赛。我敢肯定,在热情的球迷面前,主办方是百分之百的积极。这场比赛对皇家社会意义重大,让我们记住,获胜者将获得下赛季欧冠的入场券。西班牙人在上周2-0战胜摩尔多瓦的比赛中显然表现更好,尽管他们并没有处于最佳状态,基本上只做了取胜所需要的事情。如果郡长能在这里拿一分,而且面对的是东道主,他们状态良好,连赢五场比赛,在球场上防守稳固,进攻富有创造力,我将非常惊讶。然而,我们需要他们以至少两球的优势取胜,以延续他们的连胜势头。这个概率是59%在伤病方面,治安官的情况比较好,但东道主有一支实力雄厚的球队,球员都很优秀,所以我不会太担心!例如,长期缺阵的萨迪克和奥亚尔扎巴尔将再次缺阵,尽管后者在春季前交叉韧带断裂后于本周恢复训练。另一方面,郡长队在这场重要的比赛中没有受伤,但重要的中场穆萨·卡亚布将缺席,这真的会影响他们的机会。Iyayi Atiemwen到目前为止在小组赛的三场比赛中已经得到了三张黄牌,他也将被禁赛,很可能会被菲利佩·维泽乌取代。

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