Slovan Bratislava VS Basel

Slovan Bratislava welcome visitors from Switzerland for this UEFA Conference League group stage round for clash at Tehelné pole in Bratislava, the capital of Slovakia, Friday night Beijing time. Stakes are high here as both teams have a genuine chance to qualify for the play offs. The team that finishes in second place qualifies for the 1/16-finals and the group winner earns a ticket to the 1/8-finals. Basel currently top the standings with six points and a goal difference of 4:3. In my view the Swiss team are clearly the best team in this group by pure class and I would be somewhat surprised if they failed to win the group after six rounds. They have an edge over the host in all areas of the game, especially in offense. The visitors a clearly the bigger club by financial resources and players’ total market value. According to a well-known and respected German website Transfermarkt.com the hosts’ squad is valued at just 18.93 million euros. The visitors’ players have a total market value of 38.85 million! The market values can,of course be, misleading, but the bookies and professional football bettors pay more and more attention to these numbers.. The football (players) market is, after all, a global one. However, if two players are equally good and one of them is 23 years old and the other is 33 years old the younger guy, of course, has a much bigger market value. In my view the 18:93 million is too high! At least three players are over-valued. Basel are, in my view, stronger on the pitch than the 38.85 million would indicate. At least four players are more valuable in my opinion than their listed market value on the website.

The hosts have taken the championship in their domestic league, Fortuna Liga, four times in a row but we must remember that this is a quite low-level league by European standards. They do top the standings at the moment, but Trnava are just one point behind. Moreover, Slovan Bratislava have won just two of their latest five games in Fortuna Liga and were horribly bad I their most recent match losing to Trencin away from home. Trencin currently occupy the 8th place in the standings, with just 15 points to their account and a goal difference of 12:17. Today’s hosts got humiliated by Trencin losing 0-4 as very clear favorites according to the betting market. Indeed, they were priced around 1.65 to win. Trencin had 54% ball possession, recorded 20 goal attempts and also had much more goal attempts, passes and completed passes. Basel have been a little disappointing in the Swiss Super League and have taken 12 points in nine games, but we must remember that in terms of expected points they would have deserved four more points. The Super League is not a top5-league in Europe but is still of much better level than Fortuna Liga! Young Boys a team who are not significantly better than Basel, for example, even beat ManU last season in the Champions League!

The biggest, sharpest bookies with the highest betting limits see the hosts as very marginal favorites here at the time of writing this preview but I strongly disagree. Yes, Slovan Bratislava took a highly undeserved win last week when the two teams met at St. Jakob-Park. This result surely affects the odds here way too much. It is true that Basel were below their normal level and have to improve today. Even so, they still had 60% ball possession and much more goal attempts, passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 84-34. We must not forget that the hosts even failed to beat Zalgris, a very limited Lithuanian team, at this stadium as big favorites in the first round.. It was a goalless draw. They also lost to Pyunik Yerevan 0-2 away from home again as clear favorites according to the bookies after a lame perforemance. Basel have a 44% chance of winning here and with the +0.5 goals handicap option on them my fans and I have a very good - 73% chance of winning - for the 5th time in a row! - Players to watch for my fans include the hosts’ David Hrncar who leads the way for the club in their domestic league with six goals. As for the Swiss visitors, W. Burger loves to get stuck in, and he’s picked up a whopping eight yellow cards across his latest 14 appearances – also scoring four goals along the way! Lastly, I want to mention that he home advantage is of course there but Slovan do not have the best fans by European standards.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周五晚上，在斯洛伐克首都布拉迪斯拉发Tehelné pole，斯洛伐克布拉迪斯拉发欢迎瑞士游客参加欧足联联赛小组赛。这里的赌注很高，因为两队都有真正的机会进入附加赛。第二名的队伍有资格参加1/16决赛，小组第一获得1/8决赛的入场券。巴塞尔目前以6分和4:3的净胜球排名第一。在我看来，瑞士队显然是这个小组中最好的球队，如果他们在六轮后未能赢得小组第一，我会有些惊讶。他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势，尤其是在进攻方面。客队从财力和球员的总市值来看显然是更大的俱乐部。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，东道主球队的身价仅为1893万欧元。客队球员的总市值为3885万!当然，市场价值可能具有误导性，但博彩公司和职业足球赌徒越来越关注这些数字。足球(球员)市场毕竟是一个全球性的市场。然而，如果两个球员同样优秀，其中一个23岁，另一个33岁，年轻的球员，当然有更大的市场价值。在我看来18:93万太高了!至少有三名球员被高估了。在我看来，巴塞尔在球场上的实力比3885万球迷所暗示的要强大。在我看来，至少有四名球员的价值高于他们在网站上的市场价值。

东道主已经连续四次夺得了他们国内联赛的冠军，西甲联赛，但我们必须记住，这是一个相当低水平的联赛，以欧洲的标准。他们目前的确是积分榜第一，但特纳瓦只落后一分。此外，斯拉万布拉迪斯拉发在最近的五场西甲比赛中只赢了两场，而且在最近的一场客场输给特伦钦的比赛中表现得非常糟糕。特伦辛目前在积分榜上排名第8，他们的积分仅为15分，净胜球为12:17。今天的东道主被特伦辛以0-4的比分羞辱了，根据博彩市场的预测，特伦辛是非常受欢迎的球队。事实上，他们的出价在1.65左右。特伦辛有54%的控球率，记录了20次射门，而且射门次数、传球次数和完成传球次数都要多得多。巴塞尔在瑞士超级联赛的表现有点令人失望，在9场比赛中拿到了12分，但我们必须记住，就预期积分而言，他们应该得到4分。中超联赛虽然不是欧洲前五联赛，但水平还是比西甲高得多!少年队是一支并不比巴塞尔强多少的球队，例如，他们上赛季甚至在欧冠中击败了马努!

在撰写这篇预览文章的时候，最大、最敏锐、下注上限最高的博彩公司认为东道主是非常边缘的热门，但我强烈不同意。是的，上周两队在圣雅各布公园相遇时，斯洛万-布拉迪斯拉发获得了一场完全不应该的胜利。这个结果肯定对胜率影响太大了。巴塞尔的确低于正常水平，今天必须有所改善。即便如此，他们仍有60%的控球率，更多的进球尝试、传球、进攻，尤其是危险的进攻——84比34。我们不能忘记，东道主甚至未能击败Zalgris，一支实力非常有限的立陶宛球队，在这个球场上，他们是第一轮的大热门。这是一场零比零的平局。他们也在客场0-2输给了比尤尼克埃里温，根据博彩公司在糟糕的表现后的明显的热门。巴塞尔有44%的机会在这里获胜，加上+0.5球的障碍选项，我的球迷和我有一个非常好的- 73%的机会获胜-连续第五次!-我的球迷需要关注的球员包括东道主的大卫·恩卡，他在国内联赛中以6球领跑俱乐部。至于瑞士客队，W.伯格喜欢被卡住，他在最近的14场比赛中得到了多达8张黄牌，同时还进了4球!最后，我想说的是，他的主场优势当然存在，但以欧洲的标准来看，斯洛万并没有最好的球迷。