FC Tokyo VS Cerezo Osaka

FC Tokyo welcome Cerezo Osaka at Ajinomoto Stadium for this round 25 of Japanese J1 League clash Wednesday evening. This is the highest tier of Japanese football and is of pretty mediocre level by international standards. I expect a pretty good match to watch here between two classy teams. A match with a big number of goals is pretty improbable here though as both teams have had some offensive problems lately despite scoring a decent number of goals. The visitors often play quote defensive even cautious football away from home against quality opponents, like FC Tokyo. Indeed, I see the match as more low-scoring and the draw is more probable result than the betting market does. This result would be enough for my fans and me to take yet another winner betting on this league! I cannot agree with the bookies here on visitors being the favorites. With today’s expected lineups I do think there is no favorite in this match at all – it is a coin toss (50-50%) match. This means that with the +0.5 goals handicap we have a 66% chance of winning!

The visitors currently occupy the 4th place in the standings with 50 points to their account – FC Tokyo have grabbed 46 points so far and are in 7th place. The visitors also have a better goal difference - 46:35 than the hosts (39:38). Cerezo Osaka are undoubtedly the better team by pure class, but the edge they have over the hosts is small in all areas of the game. I rate the visitors in 5th place in my power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class. The hosts are in 6th place. Despite the fact that FC Tokyo are not the best home team in this league the home advantage is substantial! The hosts have suffered just three losses at their stadium so far this season and have a excellent score difference in front of their fans – 21:12. Cerezo Osaka without a win in their three most recent matches but they have all been draws! They had around 65% ball possession in their most recent match against Kashiwa Reysol but were disappointing offensively and recorded just two shots on goal. Before this they were lame as well as clear favorites at home against a mediocre team, Shonan Bellmare - 1-1 was the final score. They again managed to shoot at the opponent’s goal just twice. FC Tokyo lost to the same Shonan Bellmare at home 0-2 after a weaker than normal performance in their most recent game. I think this pretty poor performance affects the odds here too much.. The match was much more balanced than the 0-2 would reflect though. Before this they took two fine wins against Kashima Antlers 1-0 on the road and Kyoto 2-0 at home.

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周三晚上，东京足球俱乐部在味之素体育场欢迎大阪塞雷佐参加日本J1联赛第25轮的比赛。这是日本足球的最高级别，以国际标准来看是相当普通的水平。我希望在这里观看两支优秀球队之间的精彩比赛。虽然两支球队最近都进了不少球，但在这里一场进球多的比赛几乎是不可能的。客队在客场面对像东京FC这样有实力的对手时，经常踢出防守甚至谨慎的足球。事实上，我认为这场比赛比分更低，平局的可能性比博彩市场的结果更大。这样的结果足以让我和我的球迷在这个联赛上再下一个赌注!我不同意赌马的人说游客是最受欢迎的。从今天的阵容来看，我确实认为这场比赛中没有哪支球队最受欢迎——这是一场掷硬币(50-50%)的比赛。这意味着加上+0.5个进球的障碍，我们有66%的机会获胜!

客队目前以50分排名第四，而东京FC目前已经获得46分，排名第七。客队的净胜球也比主队(39:38)高46:35。大阪塞雷佐毫无疑问是实力更强的球队，但在比赛的所有领域，他们对东道主的优势都很小。在我的实力评价中，我把客队排在第5位，这说明了这支球队纯粹的水平。东道主排名第六。尽管事实上东京FC并不是联赛中最好的主队，但主场优势是实质性的!本赛季到目前为止，主队在主场只输了三场球，并且在球迷面前取得了21:12的优异比分。大阪塞雷佐最近的三场比赛没有一场胜利，但他们都是平局!在最近一场对阵卡西瓦雷索尔的比赛中，他们的控球率约为65%，但在进攻端表现令人失望，仅有2次射正。在此之前，他们在主场对阵一支平庸的球队时表现不佳，最终比分是1-1。他们又一次成功地射进了对手的球门，但只射了两次。东京FC在最近的一场比赛中表现不佳，在主场0-2输给了同一支球队肖南·贝尔马。我认为这相当糟糕的表现影响了太多的几率。这场比赛比0-2的比分更加平衡。在此之前，他们客场1-0战胜鹿岛鹿角，主场2-0战胜京都。