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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! 芬超 哈卡VS赫尔辛基

2022-10-09

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期日2022-10-09 23:00

解读理由

FC Haka VS HJK Helsinki


Haka welcome visitors from the capital of Finland, Helsinki, for this Championship Group battle at Tehtaan Kenttä in Valkeakoski. This is the second-last round of my home country’s first tier, Veikkausliiga. which is not of very high level by European standards, but this match will probably offer quite good entertainment by Veikkausliiga standards. The stakes are very high here between the two legendary clubs. I have mentioned numerous times this season, even when KuPS topped the standings with a clear margin, that HJK are undoubtedly the best team in Veikkausliiga by pure class and now we can see that this is indeed the case! In handicap betting we have gone against HJK many times, winning almost every time but today I recommend a bet on the visitors to win. They are very clear favorites here and are superior compared to the hosts on all areas of the game, especially defensively. HJK have allowed just 22 goals so far – Haka’s number is 39. It is a straightforward situation here: With a win HJK will be the champions – once again! They will probably be the champions even of they failed to win this match as the gap to KuPS in second place is five points. A point will not help HJK here as they face KuPS in the last round next week.. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker and KuPS have a better goal difference than HJK. HJK will surely be aggressive here – even risking a defeat in the later stages of the match if the scored is level.

HJK have a very important match next Thursday in Bulgaria against Ludogorets in Europa League and would love to secure the Veikkausliiga championship here.. HJK’s excellent coach Toni Koskela often rotates his classy, deep squad a lot but here he is expected to field at least close to his best starting eleven here as winning the Veikkausliiga means that HJK will have a good chance to qualify for Conference or Europa League next season which would bring a lot of prize money from UEFA. For the team that finishes second the path is much more difficult – close to impossible in my opinion.. Last season KuPS, had no chance against Union Berlin in Conference League qualifying – this season Swiss Young Boys crushed them 0-5 on aggregate. I want to highlight that HJK were excellent this Thursday at home against Ludogorets and were slightly better as a whole despite being clear underdogs in the betting market, priced around 4.00 to win. HJK had 53% ball possession and more scoring attempts, passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks and played very active, confident football similarly to the first group phase match against Real Betis. The Bulgarian visitors, however, had a few more shots on goal (5-7). It was a 1-1 draw in the end and HJK’s players looked quite disappointed after the match, indicating the increased level of ambition and confidence! We must not forget how good a team Ludogorets are! Indeed, they even beat Roma at home and played balanced match in Spain against the narrow loss as massive underdogs earlier this autumn in Europa League. In their most recent match in HJK faced Inter Turku at home and struggled in the first half but once again raised their level significantly in the second half cruising to a 3-0 win against a potentially dangerous opponent. Haka have been a positive surprise this season and still have a chance to topple Honka Espoo and take third place! For this they need to go for the win here as the gap is three points and Honka have much better goal difference – 52:26. Haka are in fine form but having lost just two of their most recent 10 matches but have, as a result, become way too hot in the betting market! They have grabbed much more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points.. Let’s also remember that HJK easily crushed them in August 3-0 at this same stadium. The match was more balanced the 3-0 would indicate but HJK were still the much stronger team and have improved further since this clash took place some six weeks ago.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这是我的祖国的第一梯队维卡考斯利加的倒数第二轮。按照欧洲的标准,这不是很高的水平,但按照维考斯里加的标准,这场比赛可能会提供相当不错的娱乐。这两家传奇俱乐部之间的赌注非常高。本赛季我已经提过无数次了,甚至在up以明显的优势登顶积分榜的时候,HJK毫无疑问是维考斯里加纯级别最好的球队,现在我们可以看到事实确实如此!在障碍投注中,我们多次与HJK交手,几乎每次都赢了,但今天我推荐赌客队赢。他们在这里非常受欢迎,在比赛的各个方面都优于东道主,特别是在防守方面。到目前为止,HJK只丢了22球——哈卡的数字是39球。这里的情况很直接:只要赢球,HJK就会再一次成为冠军!他们可能会成为冠军,即使他们没有赢得这场比赛,因为他们与第二名的up的差距是5分。在这里1分对HJK没有帮助,因为他们下周将在最后一轮面对up。如果两队在赛季结束时积分持平,那么比分差将成为决胜局,up的净胜球比HJK好。HJK在这里肯定会很有侵略性——如果比分持平,甚至会冒着比赛后期输球的风险。

HJK下周四在保加利亚的欧联杯中有一场非常重要的比赛,对手是卢多戈雷茨,他们很想在这里拿下维科斯利加冠军。HJK优秀的教练托尼·科斯凯拉经常轮换他的高级、深度阵容,但在这里,他预计至少会派出接近他最好的首发11人,因为赢得维科斯利加意味着HJK将有很好的机会获得下赛季联赛或欧联杯的资格,这将带来来自欧足联的大量奖金。对于获得第二名的球队来说,这条路要困难得多——在我看来几乎是不可能的。上赛季up,在联赛预选赛中没有机会对阵柏林联盟,而本赛季瑞士少年队以总比分0-5击败了他们。我想强调的是,HJK在本周四主场对阵卢多戈雷茨的比赛中表现出色,尽管在博彩市场上明显处于下风,标价在4.00左右,但整体表现略好。HJK有53%的控球率,更多的进球尝试、传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻,踢出了非常积极、自信的足球,类似于小组赛第一场对阵皇家贝蒂斯的比赛。不过,保加利亚客队射门次数较多(5比7)。最终是1-1战平,HJK的球员在赛后看起来相当失望,可见他们的野心和信心都有所提升!我们一定不能忘记卢多戈雷茨是一支多么优秀的球队!的确,他们甚至在主场击败了罗马,在西班牙打了一场势均力敌的比赛,战胜了今年秋初在欧联杯中以巨大劣势险胜的局面。最近在HJK的一场比赛中,他们在主场面对图尔库国米,上半场表现不佳,但在下半场他们再次大幅提升了自己的水平,在面对潜在危险的对手时,他们以3-0大胜对手。本赛季,哈卡一直是一个积极的惊喜,他们仍然有机会推翻Honka Espoo,获得第三名!为此,他们需要在这里争取胜利,因为双方的差距是3分,而Honka的净胜球要大得多——52:26。哈卡状态不错,但最近10场比赛只输了两场,但结果,他们在博彩市场上变得太火了!他们已经获得了比他们应该得到的更多的积分。我们也要记住,在8月3-0的同一座球场,HJK轻松击败了他们。这场比赛比3-0更加平衡,但HJK仍然是一支强大得多的球队,而且自大约6周前的这场比赛以来,他们的水平有了进一步提高。

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