In my opinion Chaves have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +1.5 AH looks like best possible bet for this game.

Both teams played each other 7 times in past, but only once Braga were able to win with more than one goal margin.

Chaves are league newcomer's, but they looks really solid so far. Guests have consistency and stability at the back - only 9 goals conceded in 8 matches. In current season they conceded more than one goal only once, against Porto on away. On the other hand is worth to mention huge win 2:0 on away against Sporting. Chaves don't have nothing to lose today and all pressure is on Braga shoulders.

Braga coming for this game after painful loss at Thursday against Union in Europe League. Braga lost 1:2 at home and conceded two very late goals. For sure freshness is on Chaves side. In addition to that Braga lost 1:4 against Porto in last round. Without any shadow of doubt they not coming for this game full of confidence. Braga scored 11 goals in home matches so far, but they achieved better results than they really should. According to the expected goals scored model they should score 8.73 goals in home matches.

I'm pretty sure Chaves will sit at the back and that is not easy task to break them. They will wait for their chances and Braga is extremely overrated here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，查韦斯在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。

两队过去交手7次，但只有一次布拉加能够以1球以上的优势取胜。

查韦斯是联赛的新人，但到目前为止他们看起来真的很稳固。客队后防线稳定稳定，8场比赛只丢了9球。本赛季他们只在客场对波尔图的比赛中丢过一次球。另一方面值得一提的是客场2:0大胜里斯本竞技。查韦斯今天没什么可失去的，所有的压力都在布拉加的肩上。

布拉加在周四在欧洲联赛中痛失联盟之后，来到了这场比赛。布拉加在主场1比2失利，并在最后时刻丢了两球。当然，新鲜对查维斯是有利的。除此之外，布拉加在上一轮1:4输给波尔图。毫无疑问，他们不会满怀信心地来参加这场比赛。布拉加到目前为止在主场打进了11球，但是他们取得了比他们真正应该取得的更好的成绩。根据预期进球数模型，他们应该在主场打进8.73球。

我很确定查维斯会坐在后面，要打破他们可不是件容易的事。他们会等待机会，布拉加在这里被高估了。