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芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Which is the better team by class?

2022-10-07

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期六2022-10-08 03:00

解读理由

The odds are nearing my estimations as Osasuna are somewhere around 45-48 % favorites to win this in my books. I rank them highly higher.

Why so?

There is not much difference in their results, nor in performance data and both teams are top-10. Behind the absolute top, but well above the mibtable. Not quite Betis and Villarreal in class, but well capable of beating any team in this league.

I have discussed Osasuna several times already this season as they are a team that is easy to like. Active, no-nonsense, direct, attacking, still good with the ball and strong in defense. Most importantly they have special individuals to decide matches in Budomir, Avila, and the monster Kike Garcia to cause havoc in the attacking box.

The season so far in results and xG below:


The schedule has been relatively easy, but what is remarkable that they did not deserve to lose away at Betis, the loss v Getafe was down to early red card, and last time they fought a point from Bernabeu. They were dominated by Real there, but who is not?

Today Osasuna miss David Garcia due suspension, but the good news is that Avila returns from suspension and brings in more speed to challenge Valencia from all areas.

Valencia did get rid of coach Bordalas and they are a bit more predictable and stable this season, but they still are Valencia and anything can happen especially at backstage.

Valencia season so far:


Season started with 3 low-scoring games, but since destroying Getafe at home there has been a lot of action in both boxes! What is remarkable to note here is that all 3 wins so far have come from home games, it has been a lot more difficult. Now going to Pamplona is as challenging as to Bilbao.

Valencia miss striker Marcos Andre due to suspension, but there is also a new casualty in the attack as Samu Castillejo got injured and is out.

Valencia coach Gattuso said that his squad is so young and inexperienced that there is no margin for any childish mistakes at El Sadar, but the strong and high pressing Osasuna will surely force them exactly to do that. In the attack they have Cavani who sounds dangerous by repetition, but still is yet to score a goal for Valencia.

Expected lineups:


2-0

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我的计算中,奥萨苏纳获胜的几率接近我的估计,在45- 48%左右。我对他们的评价要高得多。

为什么如此?

他们的成绩和表现数据没有太大的差别,两队都是前十。在绝对顶端的后面,但远远高于可移动的台面。虽然比不上贝蒂斯和比利亚雷亚尔,但完全有能力击败联赛中的任何一支球队。

本赛季我已经讨论过奥萨苏纳几次了,因为他们是一支很容易让人喜欢的球队。积极,严肃,直接,进攻,仍然有良好的持球能力和强大的防守。最重要的是,他们有特殊的个人决定比赛的Budomir, Avila,和怪物Kike Garcia在攻击框造成破坏。

赛程相对来说比较轻松,但值得注意的是他们不应该客场输给贝蒂斯,输给赫塔菲是因为早早就吃了红牌,而上次他们从伯纳乌抢了一分。他们被皇马统治了,但谁不是呢?

今天奥萨苏纳因为停赛错过了大卫-加西亚,但好消息是阿维拉从停赛中回来了,他带来了更快的速度,从各个方面挑战瓦伦西亚。

瓦伦西亚确实换掉了教练博尔达拉斯,他们本赛季变得更加可预测和稳定,但他们仍然是瓦伦西亚,任何事情都可能发生,尤其是在后台。

赛季开始的时候有3场进球很低的比赛,但是自从在主场摧毁赫塔菲之后,在两个盒子里都有很多动作!值得注意的是,到目前为止的3场胜利都来自于主场,这要难得多。现在去潘普洛纳和去毕尔巴鄂一样具有挑战性。

由于停赛,瓦伦西亚失去了前锋马科斯·安德烈,但是进攻中又有了新的伤亡,萨穆·卡斯蒂列霍受伤缺席了比赛。

瓦伦西亚主帅加图索说,他的球队太年轻和缺乏经验,在萨达尔没有任何幼稚的失误的余地,但强壮和高压力的奥萨苏纳肯定会迫使他们这么做。在进攻中,他们有卡瓦尼,他反复的重复听起来很危险,但仍然没有为瓦伦西亚打进一球。

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