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芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Important or not?

2022-10-06

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期四2022-10-06 22:45

解读理由

I would like to say that Honka win this because they are the better team, in better motivation and excellent at home, but the odds are going ridiculously down. Personally, this is a no bet for me pregame, but let me tell you what we know:

Honka are chasing the 3rd spot in the league which would give them a European spot for next season. They are tied with Haka, have this game on hand, and will face Haka in the last round. Their goal difference is superior though, so winning this one would be a big step.

Inter have nothing to play for here, they wait for the European spot playoffs. Since firing their Spanish coach Grau his assistant Munoz has taken over. There has been no significant change in results or performances, but they should be able to do better and have only had a few weeks under the new coaching.

Inter away form is actually a good one, 3-1-1 for the last 5.

Honka have found a good permanent for this season for the starting lineup, but it was mostly by accident because they had some many important injuries early in the season that they have had to field always the same 9-11 players. On their last trip to KuPS it was easily seen that the players are getting exhausted. Also losing that match meant their dreams of the title are over, and this combination of tiredness might easily lead to a worse than normal performance tonight.

There are also probably 3 absent midfielders. Arko-Mensah for sure due to suspension, and Kaufmann and Banahene are injured.

Inter miss wingback Niska due to suspension and the long-term injured Ojala.

Yes, Honka are still favorites here, but less than 60% likely winners in my books.

1-1?

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我想说洪卡赢了这场比赛,因为他们是一支更好的球队,动力更强,主场表现也很出色,但获胜的几率低得离谱。就我个人而言,这对我来说是不可能的,但让我告诉你我们所知道的:

洪卡正在追逐联赛第三的位置,这将使他们在下赛季获得一个欧洲席位。他们和哈卡打平,手头有这场比赛,最后一轮将面对哈卡。他们的净胜球比对手高,所以赢得这场比赛将是一个很大的进步。

图尔库国际在这里没什么可踢的,他们在等待欧洲的预选赛。自从解雇了西班牙教练格劳,他的助手穆尼奥斯就接任了。他们的成绩和表现没有明显的变化,但他们应该能够做得更好,在新教练的执教下只有几周时间。

图尔库国际的客场状态其实不错,过去5个赛季都是3-1-1。

本赛季洪卡找到了一个很好的首发阵容,但这主要是意外的,因为他们在赛季初有很多重要的伤病,他们不得不派出相同的9-11球员。在他们上次的up之旅中,很容易看出球员们已经精疲力竭了。此外,输掉那场比赛意味着他们的冠军梦想破灭了,这种疲劳的结合很容易导致今晚的表现比平时更糟糕。

可能还有3名中场球员缺席。阿尔科-门萨因为停赛确定了,考夫曼和巴纳赫内也受伤了。

图尔库国际因为停赛错过了边后卫尼斯卡和长期受伤的奥哈拉。

是的,洪卡仍然是这里的热门,但在我看来,只有不到60%的可能性。

1 - 1 ?

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