Rayo have not been as hot this season at home than last season when they were for a long time the best home team in top-5 European leagues, but they still are rather good, and it is easy to oppose current Elche team anywhere, especially when they miss several important players.

Let us start with Elche. After 6 games they have 1 point, goal difference of 2-16 and expected points worth of points.

It can be used as an excuse that on the road they have met only top teams, but yet a 10-0 gD and the last game's expected goals of 0.01 goals tells you things. The team is bad, and the morale is getting lower round after round.

Neither of their goals is the first goal of the game, and while at a draw they have been dominated every time by all opponents. They do shoot almost half of their shots from outside the box, none of them has yet hit the goal, and it is no wonder as those 18 out-of-box shots have a combined goal expectation of 0.4 goals!

So they are not very likely to score. Defensively I can admit that they have met top teams, but still have been lucky to concede only 16 goals.

Vallecano have played only twice at home so far, Mallorca robbed the points, but Valencia got beaten.

雷奥本赛季主场没有上赛季那么火爆，他们在很长一段时间内都是欧洲5强联赛中最好的主队，但他们仍然相当出色，在任何地方都很容易反对现在的埃尔切队，尤其是当他们错过几个重要的球员时。

让我们从埃尔切开始说起。 6场比赛后他们得到1分，净胜球2-16和预期积分。 这可以作为他们在客场只遇到顶级球队的借口，但是 10-0 的 净胜球上一场比赛的 0.01 球的预期进球告诉你球队很糟糕，士气也越来越低。

他们的两个进球都不是比赛的第一个进球，而且在平局时，他们每次都被所有对手控制。他们几乎有一半的射门是在禁区外射门，他们都没有射门，难怪这18次禁区外射门的总预期进球数是0.4个！ 所以他们不太可能得分。在防守端，我可以承认他们遇到过顶级球队，但仍然很幸运只丢了 16 个球。

到目前为止，巴列卡诺在主场只踢了两场比赛，马洛卡成功抢分，但瓦伦西亚被击败。

Vallecano are a team who start with full speed from the start, and if this gets decided by half-time and I am not surprised. Out of their 7 goals scored there is already a bit of all types, corners, set pieces, free-kicks, and open play. They can score, and they could have scored 4 more goals by now. The danger can come from anyone, but this looks like a good opportunity for striker Sergio Camello to open his tally in this season's La Liga. He is a 21 yo player on loan from Atletico Madrid.

Long story short, a 3-0 or so.

巴列卡诺是一支从一开始就全速开局的球队，如果这在半场结束时就决定了，我并不感到惊讶。在他们打进的 7 个进球中，已经有一些类型，角球、定位球、任意球和公开比赛。他们可以得分，他们现在可以再进4个球。危险可能来自任何人，但这对于前锋塞尔吉奥·卡梅罗来说似乎是一个在本赛季西甲联赛中揭开战绩的好机会。他是从马德里竞技租借而来的 21 岁球员。

长话短说，比分3-0。