Fulham are at 6th, and have to admit they have been decent, but also rather lucky compared to their underlying performance data xG, and today they miss one key player Palhinha who is suspended. They live and along with striker Mitrovic who already has 6 goals to his name. The losses so far have come v Arsenal and Tottenham away, so that is not very dramatic!

They have 11 points, however the xG suggest that it is 4 points too many, and also the goal difference of 11-11 flatters them, it could be 8-13!

But it is the goals and points that count. How big absentee is Palhinha? Can he be covered? I doubt it.

Newcastle started the season with high hopes, but have struggled to win - or to lose games with a 1-5-1 saldo and 8 points. It could have been more compared to xG, and there might had been more goals at both ends by a disappointing start nevertheless. The injuries have ruined their season partly, and there are still half a dozen players out, but two key players Wilson and Guimareas should return here.

If Mitrovic can be shut down there is not much danger left in the Fulham team, and I see Newcastle a decent change to win this one, and remarkably better than what the odds say!

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富勒姆排在第 6 位，不得不承认他们表现不错，但与他们的基本表现数据相比也相当幸运，今天他们错过了一名被停赛的关键球员帕林哈。他们和前锋米特罗维奇一起生活，他的名字已经有 6 个进球。到目前为止的失利是客场对阵阿森纳和托特纳姆热刺，所以这不是很戏剧性的！

他们有11分，但是xG显示4分太多了，而且11-11的净胜球让他们很高兴，可能是8-13！

但重要的是目标和分数。 Palhinha的缺席人数有多大？他能被覆盖吗？我对此表示怀疑。

纽卡斯尔本赛季开始时寄予厚望，但以 1-5-1 的萨尔多和 8 分努力赢得比赛或输掉比赛。与 xG 相比，它本可以更多，尽管如此令人失望的开局，两端可能会有更多的进球。伤病已经部分毁掉了他们的赛季，还有六名球员缺阵，但两名关键球员威尔逊和吉马里亚斯应该回到这里。

如果米特罗维奇可以被关闭，那么富勒姆队就没有多少危险了，我认为纽卡斯尔队赢得这场比赛是一个不错的改变，而且比赔率所展示的要好得多！

比分参考1-3