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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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The HOT 7/8 WON streak continues?

2022-09-27

比赛分析

阿根廷杯

已完赛

星期三2022-09-28 03:00

解读理由

Banfield VS Godoy Cruz

Banfield and Godoy Cruz lock horns in this Copa Argentina (Argentinian Cup) quarter final battle at Estadio Provincial Juan Gilberto Funes in San Luis early Wednesday Beijing time. This match is played at a neutral location. The stakes are high as neither team are doing too well in the Liga Profesional and doing well – let alone lift the cup trophy - would mean a lot for both mediocre teams at the highest level. I expect a cautious, pretty defensive and low-scoring match. Avoiding mistakes will be crucial for both teams and neither team have too much offensive power to begin with. A draw after 90 minutes of play would surprise no one.. In their most recent Copa Argentina Banfield were definitely more convincing than Godoy Cruz beating Gimnasia Jujuy 2-0. Godoy Cruz, in the other hand, needed penalties to beat a pretty small team, Belgrano, 1-0. They were solid favorites in this match according to the betting market – priced around 1.95 to win. Yes, they were slightly better on the pitch and did record 52% ball possession and a little more scoring attempts, passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. It was still a very disappointing performance – especially offensively. Indeed, Godoy Cruz failed to shoot at Belgrano’s goal even once! They lacked pace, offensive structure and also were too predictable offensive making it easy for the underdogs to defend successfully.

Godoy Cruz have been in bad form lately losing three of their latest five games – and winning just one these five. Let’s also remember that Banfield did better in Copa de la Liga Profesional - a competition that was played before Liga Profesional started. Banfield grabbed 19 points and finished in 8th position in Group A. Godoy Cruz managed to take just 16 points and ended up in 11th place in Group B. I will not be fooled be the current Liga Profesional standings – Godoy Cruz have taken more points. They have been lucky in terms of expected points and expected goals scored and points – with Banfield it is the opposite. Banfield have a lot of potential for improvement – especially offensively. The league standings of course affects odds here as well.. Both of the statistical tools mentioned above are commonly used by professional football bettors to identify under- or over-valued teams in an attempt to spot lucrative matches to bet on. I cannot agree with the betting market - Godoy Cruz being favorites. I see Banfield as narrowly the more probable winner and as a the draw is enough for my fans we have about 70% chance to extend a good streak of 7/8 latest picks won!

Godoy Cruz were quite lame in their most recent match and lost to Boca Juniors at home 0-1 priced around 2.45 by the bookies to win. They only recorded three shots on the visitors’ goal. Before this they got humiliated by a small team Barracas Central losing 1-3 away from home – again as favorites on the betting market. They looked shaky defensively and would have to improve a lot in this area for this match to win. Banfield did not excite me in their most recent match though losing to Huracan on the road 1-3 but let’s remember they were clear underdogs - Huracan are very dangerous team and currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. Before this they would have deserved a draw at home but were unlucky and lost to Lanus 1-2 at home. However, they are still in better form than today’s opponents and took two fine wins over a top-2 team River Plate, one of the two giants of Argentinian football by players total market value and historical success, away from home 2-1 and Colon Santa Fe – also 2-1 – this time at home. Before these wins they grabbed a point from the very strong Atl. Tucuman, who currently top the standings – away from home through a goalless draw and a fine effort!


班菲尔德和戈多伊克鲁兹在北京时间周三早些时候在圣路易斯的省级球场胡安吉尔伯托富内斯举行的阿根廷杯(阿根廷杯)四分之一决赛中锁定号角。这场比赛在中立位置进行。赌注很高,因为两支球队在西甲职业联赛中的表现都不太好,而且表现出色——更不用说举起奖杯了——对于两支处于最高水平的平庸球队来说意义重大。我期待一场谨慎、防守相当、得分低的比赛。避免失误对两支球队都至关重要,而且两支球队一开始都没有太多的进攻能力。 90 分钟的比赛打平不会让任何人感到惊讶。在他们最近的阿根廷杯中,班菲尔德绝对比戈多伊克鲁兹 2-0 击败吉姆纳西亚胡胡伊更有说服力。另一方面,戈多伊克鲁兹需要点球才能以 1-0 击败一支相当小的球队贝尔格拉诺。根据投注市场,他们在这场比赛中是最受欢迎的——获胜的赔率约为 1.95。是的,他们在投球并记录了 52% 的控球率和更多的得分尝试、传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。这仍然是一个非常令人失望的表现——尤其是在进攻端。的确,戈多伊克鲁兹连一次都没有射向贝尔格拉诺的球门!他们缺乏速度,进攻结构,而且进攻太容易预测,这使得失败者很容易成功防守。

戈多伊克鲁兹最近状态不佳,最近五场比赛输了三场,而这五场比赛只赢了一场。让我们也记住,班菲尔德在职业联赛中的表现更好——这是一场在职业联赛开始之前举行的比赛。班菲尔德拿下 19 分,在 A 组中排名第 8。Godoy Cruz 仅获得 16 分,最终在 B 组中排名第 11。我不会被目前的 Liga Profesional 排名所愚弄——Godoy Cruz 获得了更多积分。他们在预期得分和预期进球和得分方面很幸运——班菲尔德则相反。班菲尔德有很大的改进潜力——尤其是在进攻端。联赛排名当然也会影响赔率。 上述两种统计工具通常被职业足球博彩玩家用来识别被低估或被高估的球队,以试图发现有利可图的比赛进行投注。我不能同意博彩市场 - Godoy Cruz 是最受欢迎的。我认为班菲尔德是最有可能获胜的,而平局对我的粉丝来说已经足够了,我们有大约 70% 的机会延续 7/8 连胜纪录!

戈多伊克鲁兹在最近的一场比赛中表现相当糟糕,在主场以 0-1 输给博卡青年队,博彩公司以 2.45 左右的赔率获胜。他们只记录了客队球门上的三枪。在此之前,他们被一支小球队巴拉卡斯中央队在客场以 1-3 输掉比赛而羞辱——再次成为投注市场上的热门球队。他们的防守看起来很不稳定,为此必须在这方面进行很多改进比赛获胜。班菲尔德在他们最近的比赛中并没有让我兴奋,尽管在客场以 1-3 输给了 Huracan,但让我们记住他们是明显的弱者 - Huracan 是非常危险的球队,目前在积分榜上排名第四。在此之前,他们本应该在主场打平,但不幸在主场以1-2输给了拉努斯。然而,他们的状态仍然好于今天的对手,并以两场精彩的比分战胜了阿根廷足球两大巨头之一的河床队,以球员总市值和历史战绩,客场 2-1 和科隆圣达菲——也是 2-1——这次是在家里。在这些胜利之前,他们从非常强大的 Atl 那里获得了一分。 Tucuman,目前在积分榜上名列前茅——在客场通过一场无目标的平局和出色的努力!

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