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外籍分析师
葡萄牙人,精通葡超和葡甲赛事
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HIGH CONFIDENCE

2022-09-27

比赛分析

欧国联

已完赛

星期三2022-09-28 02:45

解读理由

Portugal are still preparing the last games for the World Cup 2022 and the coach Fernando Santos is trying some players to see if they can adapt in this squad. The best centre-back of the history of Portugal together with Ricardo Carvalho - Pepe was called by Fernando Santos, but due to an injury needed to leave the concentration and returned to Porto, the unbalancer winger from Benfica - Rafa Silva decided to abandon his career for Portugal and left the concentration aswell. Portugal are confident as they come from a easy win by 4-0 against Czech Republic where they created many problems to Czech, but they were very permissive defending and mainly because Czech needed to win the game aswell if they wanted to keep dreaming for the qualification to the Final 4. In that game the right-back Diogo Dalot started the game as Joao Cancelo (right now the best right-back in the world) was suspended and Dalot scored 2 goals and I can't see Fernando Santos putting Joao Cancelo instead of Diogo Dalot after the amazing game he did and Cancelo is without any doubt much better than Diogo Dalot. Portugal defend really bad in my opinion when they do not have the ball and against Spain that need to win Portugal for sure will have 40 or lower ball possession.

Probable line-up: Diogo Costa; Diogo Dalot - Ruben Dias - Danilo - Mario Rui; Ruben Neves - William Carvalho - Bruno Fernandes; Bernardo Silva - Rafael Leao and Cristiano Ronaldo.

Spain play a very good football since Luis Enrique is their coach, I know that he was and is being contested by some supporters, but from at I see in the pitch they play a very good football with a lot of dynamic. In the last big competition, in the Euro 2020 they were the team that dominated the European Champion Italy and created so many chances to win the game, but unluckily lost by penalties due to the amazing performance by Gigi Donnarumma. In their last game against Switzerland they did a terrible game, but it was due to the mental aspect in my opinion as even if they win that game if Portugal win their game they would still need to get a positive result against Portugal, and if they draw/lost the game against Switzerland they had still the chance to get qualified in the last game, the only difference is that they would need to beat Portugal if they lost points against Switzerland and I didn't see in that game the same Spain that I am used to see since Luis Enrique is the coach and he rotated some important players that for sure will start against Portugal like Dani Carvajal, Rodri, Koke and Alvaro Morata, but for this game the best XI possible will start the game and I cannot see Portugal beating this Spain.

Probable line-up: Unai Simon; Dani Carvajal - Eric Garcia - Pau Torres - Jordi Alba; Rodri - Koke - Pedri; Ferran Torres - Pablo Sarabia and Alvaro Morata.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

葡萄牙仍在备战2022年世界杯的最后几场比赛,教练费尔南多·桑托斯正在试炼一些球员,看他们是否能适应这支球队。葡萄牙历史上最好的中后卫和里卡多·卡瓦略一起-佩佩被费尔南多·桑托斯召唤,但由于受伤需要离开集中,回到波尔图,本菲卡的不平衡边锋-拉法·席尔瓦决定放弃他的职业生涯为葡萄牙,也离开集中。葡萄牙队很有信心,因为他们在4-0轻松战胜捷克后给捷克制造了很多麻烦,但他们的防守非常宽松,主要是因为如果捷克想继续梦想进入四强,他们也需要赢得这场比赛。在那场比赛中,右后卫迪奥戈·达洛首发,因为若昂·坎塞洛(目前世界上最好的右后卫)被停赛,而达洛进了2球,我不认为费尔南多·桑托斯用若昂·坎塞洛代替迪奥戈·达洛,因为他表现出色,毫无疑问,坎塞洛比迪奥戈·达洛要好得多。在我看来,葡萄牙的防守非常糟糕,当他们没有球权的时候,面对西班牙,葡萄牙肯定会有40或更低的控球率。

西班牙踢得非常好,因为路易斯·恩里克是他们的教练,我知道他曾经和现在都受到一些支持者的质疑,但从我在球场上看到他们踢得非常好,充满活力。在上一场大赛中,在2020年的欧洲杯上,他们是统治了欧洲冠军意大利队的球队,创造了很多赢得比赛的机会,但不幸的是,由于吉吉·多纳鲁玛的出色表现,他们在点球中输掉了比赛。在上一场对阵瑞士的比赛中,他们表现得很糟糕,但在我看来,这是由于心理方面的原因,因为即使他们赢了那场比赛,如果葡萄牙赢了那场比赛,他们仍然需要在对阵葡萄牙的比赛中取得积极的结果,如果他们和瑞士的比赛打平/输球,他们仍然有机会在最后一场比赛中出线。唯一的区别是,如果他们在对阵瑞士的比赛中丢分,他们就必须击败葡萄牙。在那场比赛中,我没有看到我过去经常看到的西班牙,因为恩里克是教练,他轮换了一些重要的球员,比如卡瓦哈尔、罗德里、科克和莫拉塔,这些球员肯定会在对阵葡萄牙的比赛中首发,但在这场比赛中,最好的11人将会首发,我不认为葡萄牙会击败西班牙。

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