It's late call from me, but odds on Tombense raised too much in last an hour and now I see excellent value on away side.

First match between both teams finished with Tombense 2:1 home win so they have good mental advantage.

Tombense coming for this game with very solid line up. We will see on the pitch their two the best scorers - Ciel and Everton, key defensive midfielder Oliveira and key central defender Dinei.

CSA today will play without first goalkeeper Marcelo Carne and their best scorer Rodrigo Rodrigues (he is on the bench). CSA is under huge pressure, but I still not trust them - only 5 wins in 14 home league matches. In last round they looked horrible on away against Chapecoense.

I don't see CSA as so big fav and I don't agree with market movement.