Hartlepool United VS Gillingham

Hartlepool welcome Gillingham at Victoria Park for this English League 2 round 11 battle Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the 4th tier of English football but is still a professional league and the level of football is decent. This is a battle between two out-of-form teams and both teams are clearly low in confidence. I expect a anxious, pretty defensive football here and see the match as more low-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of a draw is higher than on average in this league. This result would be enough for my fans I me to win with the +0.5 goals handicap option on Gillingham. The chance of winning is 72%. Indeed, the betting market sees this match as more or less a coin toss (50-50%) but I think Gillingham are solid favorites. The home advantage is there of course but I do not expect the atmosphere to be too good at the stadium. Hartlepool’s fans have, understandably been very frustrated in recent weeks.. The visitors are better by pure class and the biggest difference in their favor is in defense. They have allowed 11 goals – Hartlepool have conceded a whopping 17 goals and their defense has really looked incredibly shaky in most matches.

The visitors are the bigger team in terms of financial resources and players’ total market value. According to a well-known and respected German website Transfermarkt.com the hosts squad is valued at just 2.88 million euros. The visitors’ players have a total market value of 3.78 million4 The market values can of course be misleading, but the bookies and professional football bettors pay more and more attention to these numbers.. The football (players) market is, after all, a global one. However, if two players are equally good and one of them is 24 years old and the other is 34 years old the younger guy, of course, has a much bigger market value. I would say the 2.88 million is a bit too high, but Gillingham should be, in my view, stronger on the pitch than the 3.78 million would indicate and will surely climb up the standings as the season progresses! At the moment Hartlepool occupy the 23rd place with just four points to their account and have not won any of the nine matches in this league! In their most recent match, they lost to Sutton 0-2 and did not convince me. Gillingham, on the other hand, have grabbed six points so far but would have deserved more in terms of expected points. They lost to Mansfield in the previous round 0-2 at home as underdogs according to the bookies and I must say were not the better team, but it was still a somewhat balanced clash. Before this they did well away from home against Grimsby and took a point as very clear underdogs.

北京时间周六晚上，哈特尔普尔在维多利亚公园欢迎吉林汉姆参加这场英格兰联赛第 2 轮第 11 场比赛。这是英格兰足球的第4级，但仍然是职业联赛，足球水平还不错。这是两支状态不佳的球队之间的战斗，两支球队的信心显然都很低。我预计这里会有一场焦虑的、相当防守的足球，并且认为这场比赛的得分比博彩市场的得分低。平局的概率高于这个联盟的平均水平。这个结果足以让我的粉丝和我在吉林汉姆的 +0.5 目标让分选项中获胜。获胜的机会是 72%。事实上，博彩市场认为这场比赛或多或少是抛硬币（50-50%），但我认为 Gillingham 是最受欢迎的。主场优势当然是有的，但我不认为球场的气氛会太好。哈特尔普尔的球迷最近几周非常沮丧，这是可以理解的。游客们在纯粹的课堂上表现更好，而对他们有利的最大区别在于防守。他们丢了11个球——哈特尔普尔丢了17个球，他们的防守在大多数比赛中看起来都非常不稳定。

就财力和球员的总市值而言，客队是更大的球队。根据知名且受人尊敬的德国网站 Transfermarkt.com 的数据，东道主阵容的价值仅为 288 万欧元。客队球员的总市值为 378 万4 市值当然会产生误导，但博彩公司和职业足球博彩玩家越来越关注这些数字。足球（球员）市场毕竟是一个全球一。但是，如果两名球员同样出色，其中一名 24 岁，另一名 34 岁，那么更年轻的球员当然拥有更大的市场价值。我会说 288 万有点太高了，但在我看来，吉林汉姆在球场上应该比 378 万更强大随着赛季的进行，肯定会在积分榜上攀升！目前，哈特尔普尔排名第 23 位，仅积 4 分，并且在该联赛的九场比赛中没有赢过任何一场！在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们以 0-2 输给了萨顿，并没有说服我。另一方面，吉林汉姆到目前为止已经获得了 6 分，但在预期得分方面应该得到更多。根据博彩公司的说法，他们在上一轮主场 0-2 输给了曼斯菲尔德，我必须说他们不是更好的球队，但这仍然是一场平衡的冲突。在此之前，他们在客场对阵格里姆斯比的比赛中表现出色，并且以非常明显的劣势拿下一分。