I find the current -1.5 offer in asian markets really appealing, all things considered. Yes, Hoffenheim knows very little about defending, but they are a team capable of scoring 2+ goals against any opposition. They’ve done so this season against the likes of Bayern and Borussia Dortmund, and they found the net 3 times in the 1st leg in Norway.

I would also prefer not to underestimate the fact, that the Norwegian league is still in winter hibernation - and will kick off only in March. This makes Molde’s 3:3 draw a serious achievement, but in the 2nd leg Hoffenheim will be more focused and appreciative of the opponent + the 3:3 scoreline will force Molde to go forward in search of goals. This would be the perfect setup for fast counter-attacking Hoffenheim.

When it comes to the German side, their casualty list has no relevance. All season long it has been overcrowded and they’ve virtually never had a chance to play with a full-strength lineup. It has become a standard feature for Hoffenheim to constantly miss players through injuries or suspensions.

Molde’s squad is so average, that their team news also have little value ahead of the game.

I am mainly relying on Molde’s lack of competitive match practice to kick-in and Hoffenheim to benefit from the comfortable 3:3 scoreline they take from the 1st leg. This has to be a more straightforward encounter than a week ago.

是的，霍芬海姆对防守知之甚少，但他们是一支能够在任何对手面前进2+球的球队。他们在本赛季对拜仁和多特蒙德的比赛中都取得了这样的成绩，而且他们在对挪威球队的第一回合比赛中3次进球。

我也不愿意低估这样一个事实，挪威联赛仍处于休赛期，而且要到三月份才会开赛。这使得莫尔德3:3的平局是一个重大的成就，但在第二回合霍芬海姆将更加专注和感激对手+，3:3的比分将迫使霍芬海姆必须要全力以赴。这将是霍芬海姆快速反击的完美架构。

德甲球队遭遇伤病影响是常事，他们几乎从来没有机会在全阵容的情况下比赛。对于霍芬海姆来说，经常因伤病或停赛而缺阵球员已经成为了家常便饭。

莫尔德太平庸了，他们的球队新闻在比赛前也没什么价值。

莫尔德缺乏比赛节奏，本场看好霍芬海姆。